Picard

For as warm as it's supposed to be later, the last 24 hours+ have actually been quite raw, with temps in the mid 40s to low 50s, overcast and damp. It was even cold in the house and had to bump the heat back up. Pretty typical dreary early spring weather. Would love to see 80 later, but the fact I'm still pretty socked in with cloud clover makes me skeptical.

Yes. Several years back, in April the station once recorded a daily low of 27 and high of 80. It's already up to 41 from the low of 19. I expect they'll get to 60 later, and maybe more. Link to the NJ stations: Walpack is in the northwestern part of the state. https://www.njweather.org/maps/mapviewer?mapname=temperature

Walpack, NJ low of 19. For folks who may not know - Walpack has rather unique geography, and sits in sort of a wide open bowl out in the boondocks of western Sussex County at an elevation of roughly 400 feet between two high ridges. No one lives there that I'm aware of, but Rutgers/Nick Stefano maintain a station out there. It can have impressive lows, and even sometimes highs. There have been a couple of instances in the past where the station records both the state high and state low temperature in the same 24-hour period. It's a fun bike ride or drive out through that area. Just don't expect much in the way of cell service or modern conveniences, aside from maybe the Walpack Inn which is nearby.

Mid-winter dewpoints tonight. Temps will drop fast in some areas. Maybe I'll see my last sub-30 night of the season.

Preliminary reports of 2 tornadoes in SNJ yesterday, Ocean, and Burlington counties, per NJ.com We've gone from almost muggy yesterday with dewpoints around 60 in the late morning, to a few sub-10 degree dewpoints this afternoon. The front passage here was nothing remarkable severe wise, but certainly did dry the air out.

Gotta be getting close to some ice glaze on the high peaks like High Point. Only 38 here with moderate rain.

It was a good day to sip one or two out on the deck with some sun if that's your thing. I wish we'd get days like this in summer sprinkled in between the humid conditions. The very low humidity is a nice change once in a while.

58 degrees, 18% humidity and deep blue skies. Wow.

Nothing at work except 0.5-1" under trees and in the woods. Otherwise, the open grass was completely bare and all of it from earlier had melted. Back home, we have 3.5 inches of solid cover. There was a rapid pick up in the snow depth driving east along Newton-Sparta road and within a few miles, it was a different world, even with a modest elevation gain. The other surprising thing, the snow here is more powdery than expected. It's actually kicking up and whipping around some in the wind. Currently just light snow. Temp is 31.

I noticed a marked difference in heading from Sparta west to the outskirts of Newton for work. There is much less snow (not even an inch yet) on the ground here and the snow intensity got less. The elevation here is 570 feet vs. 800 feet at our house.

In the last twenty minutes I've dropped from 31 to 30 and the snow intensity has increased, which is leading to it sticking to pavement now. Schools that chose to remain open might be in for a bit of backlash this morning. Doesn't bother me personally, but with buses and student drivers, it creates a concern with the timing of this.

Steady moderate snow here. 1.5" on non-paved surfaces. 31F Some schools are closed, and others are on delayed openings.

Sussex probably doesn't need the WSW at this point either. And now we're under a state of emergency according to nj.com Meanwhile, it's 37 here with light rain and no evidence of snow mixing in yet.

Understood. But don't they use different language out west, like "Winter Storm Warning for elevations 5000 feet and above, Winter Weather Advisory for elevations 3000-5000 feet". As an example. You probably wouldn't ever issue a Winter Storm Warning for the entirety of Clark County Nevada since it's so large and includes Las Vegas. Seems like it might be something for NWS to consider for this area when we have scenarios like this one. Or would our counties be too small to make those distinctions?

Don't think I've ever seen a warning followed by a prediction of 2-8 inches. Action Recommended Make preparations per the instructions Issued By Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service Affected Area Sussex, Warren and Morris counties Description ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY... WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. WHERE...Sussex, Warren and Morris counties. WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT Tuesday.

They still have me under a winter storm warning for 6-12 inches. Yet the daily forecast from TWC shows one inch through tomorrow afternoon. LOL.

It'll be interesting to see where the watches/warnings go up and how they align with the final totals in our area. I'm at exactly 800 feet verified by GPS and topo map. Parts of Morris County, Jefferson, Oak Ridge, Mount Arlington, are a few hundred feet higher than me, as are other parts of Sparta. Even a portion of Rockway sits over 1000 feet. If anyone remembers March 31 - April 1, 1997. We had a very elevation driven intense storm up here. I remember leaving work in Morris Plains to a rain/snow mix, and nothing on the ground, to over a foot with stuck and abandoned cars on Route 15 once I hit the higher parts of Jefferson and into Sparta. I was a kid all of 22 at the time, driving a stupid Saturn sedan back and forth to work. I still don't know how I made it home in that thing.

I'm under a WSW for 6-12". Meanwhile, Mount Arlington, in Morris County, probably 7-8 miles away as the crow flies, has no advisory of any sort up yet. Interesting setup. Looks like I'm close to either a couple of inches or many times that, or something in between. This will be fun to nowcast.

Damn, I'm right under that NAM bomb, and points just to the east and north of me. Even half that would be fun.

This may be another case of "careful what we wish for". If the best (worst?) case plays out, with heavy rains early, high winds, and marginal temps, isn't the potential there for significant damage and power loss, from the weight of wet snow on trees, power lines, roofs, etc? Especially in the northern part of the subforum. Even 8-10" could be consequential.

I used to post as gpsnavigator, mostly in the NYC forum. I was frozen out of that account when I attempted to update my e-mail address to a different one. No confirmation e-mail ever arrived after many attempts to verify the updated e-mail. An attempt to contact the web administrator went unanswered. After minor issues, I was able to sign up for this account, which is fine. I'll use this. But what exactly is the procedure for updating account settings, e-mails, etc, without having to worry about having the account indefinitely locked in limbo?