vegan_edible

def seeing some progress amongst the op models on wavebreaking and seeing some more seasonable temps during the holiday week. brooklynwx99 has been talking about this a lot today and i appreciate his input on things. whether it pans out or not is still highly uncertain due to how much these models flop but it is far more encouraging and fun to look at than what the past 3 days has been

mjo admitted he made a bad call. no need to call him out. go to the upstate thread if you're from bolton landing and wna act like a silly goose

just read that a little while ago, excellent post. while i do think december is gonna be a dumpster fire i do have some semblance of hope we get it cracking come mid january. patiently waiting for the models to drop those clues in over the coming weeks

seems as though we havent had our daily dose of mjo talk yet, so i'll just drop this here...

hour 342 on a off hours OP gfs run... idk im not buying in to that specific look right away

looking through ensembles and im not necessarily seeing some sort of blowtorch scenario unfolding, just 40's and seasonable air through the holidays. i dont know the extent of which this will hold but the big 3 (GEFS, EPS, CMC) all seem to have us locked in on that look. 12z OP GFS seems to allow some cooler air to flood in after the storm on the 18th, obvious take that with a *big* grain of salt but i feel as though this winter is not gonna be all doom and gloom and we do have the have chances to score with january climo

somebody gotta fire up the grill with all the weenies being tossed around in this thread

i somehow snagged like 5 inches last year feb 27th. i think we can score something this year

im praying at this point. we cant do 2 crapper winters in a row

https://www.ecmwf.int/sites/default/files/elibrary/2022/20281-investigating-biases-representation-pacific-sub-tropical-jet-stream-and-associated.pdf good stuff for anyone else who is new to the idea of how the mjo influences the pacific jetstream

18z gfs claiming im getting 4.2” here in wp monday when pigs fly

i picked up like 1.2" last december, i think on the 11th, with some little evening accumulation in white plains

nam chose the hard stuff this morning, 18z monday

iykyk

canadian model bought that fake bodega weed and went to town

seriously, 2 highly informed posters, amongst many on this board. i love how much you can learn from just reading this sub

i grew up in albany and that was the most memorable christmas of my life. i was 7 at the time and i remember it snowing so hard we couldnt go visit family in syracuse. i also remember it being the year i got my first legit skateboard and it was so hard not being able to go out and skate that day. making a snowfort helped with that though. i dream of another christmas like that

sounds like '22/'23 was the recent '01/'02 and i'm all set on that lmao

i wish, i'm 28. saw 2001 and went from there. maybe i wouldnt want to experience 01/02

been recently thinking i should go back to school and try studying meteorology. facing the world with a degree in photography is kinda tricky. then i remembered i absolutely suck at math. dream, out the window

i was 6 then, i wish i remember this

i think there is an interesting psychological phenomenon when it comes weather and specifically the issue of lack of snow itself. whether we like it or not, we're all snow weenies here. it gets us excited to track and see the outcome. its nearly akin to gambling. we know we have ZERO control of the outcome and thats half of the excitement. when the terms positive or negative get tossed around it is a display of emotive nature, especially considering we all got jipped last year, so we have high hopes of a positive outcome, but someone displaying legitimate scientific evidence will be viewed as negative due to playing mental gymnastics you probably already knew that, but i wanted to follow up because it really is insane how the past week has been with subjective feelings being projected onto objective outcomes that being said, we better get a nor'easter in the metro this year

i read through that the other night actually, you posted it in the enso thread or sne, cant remember. although i couldnt understand half of it due to my lack of knowledge it was a great read

i somehow scored like 5 inches in wp during that feb event last year