dude seriously. i get it plays a very crucial role in winter forecasting but to some degree this december thread has turned into 4 pages of mjo related rants. im not denying its significance, cause it can easily land in phase 8 but at the same time we could get shafted with a +NAO or something. lets just hope it all pans out for us at somepoint
DISCLAIMER: *art school graduate thought incoming*
it seems as though the models are struggling to pick up on a consistent pattern going into mid month, we are still in the long range before we even hit mid december, while i agree the mjo phases are not looking particularly favorable for the 8th-15th period i do not see how there is not a possibility of a pattern change mid month
my rant doesnt have much backbone, can anyone confirm or deny my thought process or am i just in denial and have reached my limit of snow withdrawl
Understood completely. I mean, in the grand scheme of things, could it possibly be worse than last year? I even managed to get like 6 inches here in white plains, which by no means is good, but i think statistically it will have to snow this season
i understand how ensembles paint a decent picture of the upcoming pattern, however; the GFS operational model has been consistently showing a thanksgiving cold shot. it's out in fantasy land still so who really knows what will happen. just another view, who really knows?
Is this Larchmont? I saw a ton of deer in the woods at Flowers Park today. We have a fun skate park in the woods over there and often see deer, but today I happened to see a buck for the first time in my life
Got a few questions about this upcoming pattern. I'm digging this cooler weather now, but it looks we're heading into a +PNA for the first week of October, however it seems to keep getting pushed back. Who here can give me a good prospective temp outlook on how October will pan out. I'm dreaming of crisp high 50s and sunshine