Jump to content

Winterweatherlover

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,582

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Winterweatherlover

  1. Winterweatherlover
    Because it's an outlier right now in terms of qpf and often too dry until the last minute.
  2. Winterweatherlover
    A bit drier I think more than even warm, I don't see any 18+ totals anywhere on the GGEM.
  3. Winterweatherlover
    12Z CMC a bit colder than 0Z
  4. Winterweatherlover
    I think it's still a bit too early to narrow down how far north the meaningful sleet line makes it but I think it'll be somewhere in a range from about 30 miles south or north of I80/NYC. Ideally we'd want to probably see it south of NYC today expecting the last second north bump with middle level warming.
  5. Winterweatherlover
    I agree overall it's looked improved.
  6. Winterweatherlover
    I don't take the ICON very seriously but the cutoff is pretty insane, 8 inches southern NYC, 20 inches at the Bronx/Westchester border.
  7. Winterweatherlover
    12Z NAM looked way better for NYC, RGEM slightly worse, expect some wobbling, going to be close in terms of mainly snow vs several hours of sleet but I think we are narrowing the borderline area to 30 miles north and south of the I80 corridor.
  8. Winterweatherlover
    LOL that dry slot is almost funny.
  9. Winterweatherlover
    The models keep warming but the qpf keeps going up, totals don't really change.
  10. Winterweatherlover
    It didn't really hold serve in my view, it may a significant overall shift to the others.
  11. Winterweatherlover
    GFS looks like a shift toward the other models but still further SE then them.
  12. Winterweatherlover
    Every model is still significant snow.
  13. Winterweatherlover
    True that part is unfortunate but it's still going to be a significant front end thump of snow.
  14. Winterweatherlover
    it looked warmer but if anything accumulations went up, I guess wetter?
  15. Winterweatherlover
    I wouldn't really say a toaster bath, it's still like 8+ of snow for NYC before any changeover, more where you are.
  16. Winterweatherlover
    Surface temps have nothing to do with sleet.
  17. Winterweatherlover
    The sleet line sorta races and then slows, a 30 mile south shift in the upper levels would do wonders.
  18. Winterweatherlover
    I think it's ok to accept that it can both sleet and still be a significant snowstorm, both can be true.
  19. Winterweatherlover
    The sleet is pretty minimal north of central NJ.
  20. Winterweatherlover
    NAM seems kind of dry too compared to other models.
  21. Winterweatherlover
    expect the nam to do a lot of weird things over the next 24-48 hours, some things people will like and some they won't lol
  22. Winterweatherlover
    I totally agree about the south, just not our area.
  23. Winterweatherlover
    Ok excited I get but overhyping it as historic/biggest storm in decades etc is a bit much. High end potential it's a MECS probably not HECS.
  24. Winterweatherlover
    I guess hugging the GFS.
  25. Winterweatherlover
    Yes I've noticed that seems to be a trend today too.
×
×
  • Create New...