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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    I can't wait! I'm going to do garden work.
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    I've had an average Winter. Pretty good. I do wish there were more Clipper storms though, they are my favorite.
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    Re-enforced by -PNA pattern though. We need that Pacific High pressure to change. Some lite signs of -NAO loading pattern setting up... New El Nino's certainly don't start leading the pattern in March.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    78F on 12z Euro for March 7th in DC. 72F 3-10 and 76F 3-11.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    I've read things linking the two.
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    Significant Stratosphere Warming event to occur in early March. Does a March SSW precede a later-in-the-year El Nino? No.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    They have basically no snow on the Colorado mountains, for pretty much the first time ever. I saw a stat where Salt Lake City had 0.1" for the year, beating their previous low of 28" (still some time to go though)
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Crazy how it always swings back from cold to something extreme on the warm side.
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    12z Euro basically has a week of straight 70s in DC March 6-12. 2012 anyone?
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    The last few March's with SSWs have not correlated with cold conditions.. historically there is a +15day lag to -NAO though
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    Wow the 12z Euro is warm March 6-12.. Looks like 70s in DC every day
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    Higher than average probability is yes. March SSWs haven't been leading to -NAO as much the last few Winters so we'll see
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    Typical -NAO correlation lag at that time of year is +15 days
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    CPC thinks so
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    I'm glad we don't have to talk about that anymore lol
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    Euro seasonal model too strong SE ridge DJF two Winters in a row. Seasonal models seem to have heavy ENSO bias, even when Weak like they are grasping for any forecasting accuracy lol
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    So much for warm ENSO subsurface effecting pattern right now.. Feb-March La Nina state in Hadley Cell 2018-2026 has been incredible Bright sun in late Winter really correlating with +NPH (North Pacific High)
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    12z GEFS very warm March 7-11. DCA could make a run at 70s.
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    12z EPS
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    It's a pretty warm 500mb pattern coming up - Models have been too aggressive on the pattern this Winter, so we'll see how it pans out, but some areas in the Midwest may get very warm in early March
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    Here comes the warmer subsurface (20c Isotherm Depth), leading the surface by several months, like usual
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Satellite from this morning
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Definitely not complaining. I was in Manassas, VA Friday and it was 60 degrees there, so hot in the sun. Glad this could happen right after!
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    Looks like I got about 6"
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