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Stormchaserchuck1

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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1

  1. Stormchaserchuck1
    Here you go. Did you know that we broke record around New Year's [img]https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/stratosphere/temperature/10mb9065.png [/img]
  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    I'm going to again say this is hitting too hard on models. Expect a not so strong verification, even though this is an ensemble mean/average at 384hr.
  3. Stormchaserchuck1
    -AAM again at 12z 384hr. Not the pattern you would see if the +10f in the central subsurface -200m has more relevance.
  4. Stormchaserchuck1
    That -66 wind chill in Maine is pretty incredible. All we really have correlating is an Arctic Circle high pressure.
  5. Stormchaserchuck1
    lol no chance.. Purdy got hurt kept the Eagles under the radar for some reason. They still would have won14-21+ Hopefully my ENSO posts get approved, I don't want to start a 2023 thread right now. A lot of good information there.
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    La Nina signal here as -AAM is a La Nina-base state. If we are going into Strong El Nino, you want to see different things transpiring in real time. El Nino for 2023 looks like it's taking a 2nd place stance.
  7. Stormchaserchuck1
    -PNA getting beat up on MR/LR models.. hard to sustain when warm +2-3c waters are hitting the central-200m subsurface. We've been doing this silly reverse-years thing since 2020. It gives credence to next February being +PNA, but the rest of the Winter has had low pressure more common in the N. Pacific.
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Eagles only favored by -1.5. I don't know why they keep going under the radar, Hurt's was 17-1 as a starter. A lot of people who don't watch them, take the other side. Easy bets. I knew it all the way both times the Ravens won the Super bowl.. take your about 85% chance at sure money and bet the Eagles. lol (Hurt's could get hurt or it's 90%) edit: can someone please approve my posts in weather section ENSO thread?
  9. Stormchaserchuck1
    Dominant +EPO patterns usually last 7-13 days. This one is starting Feb 5. I really think it will give us glimpse of spring weather this is the reverse-PNA pattern time that is verifying.. but as a 2nd/3rd derivative we are warm.
  10. Stormchaserchuck1
    In the last 2-3 years, we've been breaking -PDO records from the 1950s. December 2021 was the biggest -PNA on record, then 2022 came in #2 this year. Last time it snapped
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    Maybe we're due for a +NAO
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    When that EPO changes, it's going to get warm. I would say 60s.
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    384hr again.. Feb16
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    Edited
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    uh oh.. 60s and 70s coming maybe
  16. Stormchaserchuck1
    I told you.. strong PNA December's have this really strong NAO/PNA correlation in February
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    Look at the strength of this thing.. Day16 model A February La Nina condition could definitely reverse next year.
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    -AO coming back. now veering into +EPO in the medium range. no ice storms in +EPO. Ji likes this map
  19. Stormchaserchuck1
    I think we are going to start phasing-out the Aleutian ridge in the LR.
  20. Stormchaserchuck1
    I kind of like all that energy hanging back into the SW around Valentine's day. I do think the current -PNA/GOA High is overdone on models. Could be a big storm.
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    I would pretty easily bet PHL -2.5. I'm waiting for my post to be approved in PHL subforum, but I once recorded Vegas lines when teams had +8> winning streaks (SF), and found out they covered at like 46%.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    I keep saying this but I think Days 13-16 are going to bust/trend colder. Maybe a little -EPO/+PNA setup.
  23. Stormchaserchuck1
    Trending colder...was rain past few runs They like a high pressure in the -AO domain -PNA ridge near the Aleutians is really strong, too powerful to overcome, still not fully considered.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    (Maybe that's why they're picking up a -PNA at Days 14-16?) -AO's/-NAO's have a ~+15-20 day lag from SSW at that time of year.
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    Just tired of waiting on people to approve me when what I'm posting isn't really trash. That's all. all good. do as you like.
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