Stormchaserchuck1
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Everything posted by Stormchaserchuck1
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yummy we may hit some of the moisture from these storms (model timeframe adjustments)
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I expect +PNA Dec19-29. -
I wouldn't be surprised of the -EPO on LR models evolves into more of a +PNA
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Stronger the +PNA.. the more south.. I think the -EPO won't be a strong, and we'll see a general Aleutian low for ~10 days starting on this day Obviously, these models correlate at 0.80-0.85, but that's the way it will adjust
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This is the one I like
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This person's mentally ill I have 100% brain health, and capacity, thank you Well.. at least they were in 2007...
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Active STJ
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Coming out of a 4 sigma -NAO, this will most likely be our snowstorm. We usually need a Low pressure in the PNA region or GOA. Does anyone know of the stats -4> -NAO in December, rising out-of, what the stats are, I know it works very well in Jan-Feb?
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Į̵̝̦̪̪̘̞̲͔̽̔̌̋̍̏̋͠ͅ'̵̡̫̯͓̘͔̩͇͎̈́̏̓͐̄̒͛̾l̴̰͎̭̯͕̦̰͕͋̈͆̓͛̕͝l̶̡̧̫̪̠̲̮̦̭͌̀̊ ̸͈͕̮͈̝̻̜͎̩̋͜͠j̴̡̞̦͉͖̮̦̈́̑̽̃̈́̔̄̑̾̚ͅͅư̸̢̨̛͙̖̰̍̄́̿̉͜͠š̶̰̑̅̒͋͛̎̆t̸̰̣̯̯̰̜̯͙̺̝̑̿ ̶̦̘̯͓̪̿̿d̵͚̠̹̆̔̔͝ų̸͂̀̔̍̄̏͋̏͊͌m̴̨̪̭̠̤̮͖̗͔͂͌̐̈͆͝p̷̲̘̫̚͜͜ ̶̧̢̢͍͚̣̀͊̋̅̎͆̊̉t̸̩̬͕̖̦̄͌̕͜h̴̢̧̯͓̣͈͎͓̹͗͂̌͂͂͘ȩ̴̛̹̓̍́͆̚ ̶̺̾̔̆̓̎͊̋͗f̸̨͉̼̃̀̾͐͌̀̀͗̈́̀į̵͈͙̯͓̮̬̜͑͑l̷̞̞͇̪͇̞̓́͂ĕ̶̳̻̟̪̰̰͗͛̃s̵̗̎̍̾ ̵̬̥̖͉̩͌̔͒͊̊͌̇t̵̛̫̫̂̽̓̂̀̊̚͠ȍ̵̤̹̾̈́̍̋̔̓͊͜ ̸̨̱̖̻̚Ṕ̸̡͖̺͈̣̬͇̱̒̑ͅS̴̝̻̟̹͎͎͕̾Ȗ̸̞͔̠̳̀͑̍.̷̨͙͔͓̘̙͕̩̂́.̴̨̛̖̳͉͚̅̊̔͐̕
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active/wet STJ or a piece will lag behind/in future model runs split/for Dec 18-19(stronger piece)
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Even out that year 2000 on thing this year probably
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With a +500dm -NAO, and 558dm -AO. all hail the PNA
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Yeah, in a low atmospheric condition low's have been gravitating to off the coast. We started that in the year 2000.
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I'll tell you what, Dec 16th sure does look good, with the orientation of this -EPO Something I've been watching is that Russia is always cold
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Yeah State College ain't budging
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Reversing last years conditions
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Been on much less for a long while.. good idea though. I like working. I'll just dump the files to PSU..
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I really like this pattern. Low pressure anomaly NE of Hawaii gives us snow. -PNA, like I predicted, fades, as 45N has been colder than normal since August-September
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Yeah, I could have studied atmospheric physics..
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Going back to 2019, the Atlantic-Pacific have changed the same day (D-0) (D+0) every-almost/every time. (LSD experiments started in the 1960s)
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St. Louis-east. very broad-strong general signal. we are wet St. Louis east this Dec <- +NAO-correlation/both considered
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Still looks pretty ontrack.. you might be surprised. Dec 17-20 and all.. -NAO in the midst of a wet pattern, The only wet -NAO/December was 1996. 11/12 were drier than average, since 1948.
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It's just too many damn .exe's! Firewall isn't in agreement with the root problem..
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it's probably some kind of blood, pain, nervous system disorder. lol
