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78Blizzard

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Posts posted by 78Blizzard

  1. 18 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

    :huh:

    I'm not sure what is suspicious about it at all. It's an automated reporting station that doesn't perform especially well in high winds and snow (BOS has both). Backyard Coop stations tend to have much lighter winds than the center of the Tarmac, and thus higher precipitation totals for the year. Even if you are only talking about a 10% undercatch at BOS, that could easily be 5+ inches over the course of the year.

    I tend to agree with that explanation.  However, as I understand it, The NWS continues to operate an ASOS at the Blue Hill Observatory.  The winds there are comparable to those at Logan.  Wouldn't they have the same problem?

  2. 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    I have noted this multiple times, but KBOS really stands out low on the precip front. Almost every year. I don't see that as coincidence, but I'm not sure what it could be other than issues with instrumentation.  I would need to see other sites, but you have some samples not far from the city.

    It really is suspicious when towns within 25 miles of the city show 10-15 inches more. 

  3. 35 minutes ago, leo2000 said:

    DuZ05p5WoAEKy_m.jpg

     

    No surprise the models are having a hard time right now because we are at the beginning of a polar vortex weakening. 

    I wonder how accurate those 10 mb temperature 282 hr forecasts are?  :lol:

    • Like 1
  4. 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    Yeah...not sure if Kent issued a bad forecast for 1969, but he had major updating to do for the 1978 storm.  As others have said, Harvey really scored on that one and cemented his place in history.

    Don Kent was around long before computers and one not to forecast 100% based on the one computer model available at that time.  He didn’t buy it early on and waited for morning upper air and pressure fall charts to verify. Because of this he waited until late Monday morning, February 6th, to be sure and then went on the air and said the now famous line:”We’ll be measuring the snow in feet, not inches”!!  I was in my car traveling to a client and heard that radio broadcast.  The computer model, surprisingly, happened to be right.

  5. 1 hour ago, Greg said:

    What you just described sounds a little more like the Blizzard of 1978.

    That may be what it sounds like, but you're wrong.  I had been married for less than 6 months at the time and remember it well.  I'm talking about the so-called 100 hour storm that hit late in February of 1969.  The Boston area received 25-30 inches during that storm, with some suburbs receiving up to 3 feet.  The storm sat off the Cape for about 3 days before drifting away. 

     

    • Like 1
  6. 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    That's not necessarily true...especially with an RNA. Take a look at February 1969.

    That was quite the storm back in February, 1969.  I remember trudging through the drifts from the subway stop to the Sears warehouse in Dorchester where I was a catalog buyer at the time.  I wonder if that was the storm that Don Kent severely underestimated, predicting flurries or just a chance of snow?

  7. Looking at the 12z and 18z GEFS, after this weekend the h5 anomalies are never positive again here through hr 384, and h850 are mostly the same.  In fact, they are mostly BN.  Based on that, I don't think we'll be breaking out the banana hammocks on the 20th or the following week.  But I suppose things could change.

    • Like 1
  8. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

    Man imagine this place if we get some cutters with the ridging in the east, after Christmas. Legit chance too. I’m going to be sitting here smiling like that fat kid in the movie “Stand By Me.” The one who made everyone puke after eating the pies. Just sitting there, laughing and smiling as everyone pukes and cries. 

    Be careful there.  If it goes the other way, you might want to take some time away from the board. :lol:

  9. 18 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

    If that's the case, that's part of the problem why BOX had such a hard time filling the position. You need to be available every 6 hours, and possibly be available/have back up to measure in marginal or changeover situations.

    Unfortunately, we can't really estimate observations. Even with the missing CON data, we couldn't estimate we could only use the data from a nearby station.

    This is a government position.  Don't they have a job description for this position, one which describes the general tasks and duties of the position, as well as the responsibilities?  I guess I'm expecting too much from the government.

  10. 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    I mean if you don't have a snowpack you want to protect, I'd root warmest possible.  

    Bare ground and 55F is a better day than bare ground and 43F.  

    I'm rooting for a bn December, so 43°F is a better day than 55° from my perspective.  I don't think I'm the only one rooting for that.  The snows will come when they come.

  11. 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Yeah much different in the tropics there. But if it’s 45 vs 55 and rain, who the fook really cares? 78blizz seems to root for a cooler rain. 

    At least I'm not rooting for mai Tai and banana hammocks, lol.

  12. The warmup this Sunday-Monday is up for grabs.  I'll take the Euro version of events with northerly 850 winds vs southwesterly warm breezes from the GFS.  And I'll take the storm going well under us as depicted on the Euro vs the cutter to the west as shown on both the GFS and CMC.

    • Like 1
  13. 0z GFS shows the coldest air of the season so far building by Christmas Eve in Nunavut Territory to the NW of Hudson Bay, with temps getting down to -35°F to -45°F, and with the leading edge dropping down into the northern plains.

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