78Blizzard

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The funniest part of that fantasy storm, if somehow one like that popped up, all the sudden Meh Bob in Taunton would have the highest realitive to normal snowfall in all of New England.  BOS probably too.  

 

Boston is about 10" below normal right now, a bit more by then, but yes it would be right up there.  What about Caribou?  I heard they have had 60+" thus far?

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I'd take a 2-4" storm at this point...the clown range storm is a fantasy that probably is't happening.

 

Tues/Wed is more interesting...esp if that backside energy can become more dominant.

Back to reality.

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Good eye candy from 228-240 in clown range...that storm that was starting to materialize at 192h destroys SNE.

Yesterday's 12z Euro op had that as a cutter.  Quite the change in 24 hrs.

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

They’re allowing shit to be said!

     Well, if the pattern fits....

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I measured over 30" in Cambridge, you literally couldn't identify many cars on the street.  In my top 3 all time storms and my only 30"+ storm.  

 

 

I'm putting my order in for one of those.   

Maybe the GFS is turning a new leaf for 2019, lol.  Nice hit in fantasyland, d12.  Almost 2" qpf, all snow, for here anyway.  When the GFS gets rid of the hangover tomorrow, it will probably be just that, a fantasy.  Happy New Year.

37 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

It will be interesting to see how things turn out, especially in later January when the futures expire.

A persistence call based on conditions when the MJO spent an extended period in Phases 4 and 5 in December can be risky when it goes against El Niño climatology, especially when a lot is going i.e. a sudden stratospheric warming and the MJO will be poised to move into the colder phases at some point in January and likely at a higher amplitude.

Natural gas futures were skyrocketing in early to mid-November when we had that BN cold spell later in the month.  They reached almost $5/contract then, but have plummeted to $2.96/contract now, lol.

I understand that February natural gas contracts were obliterated today.  The bull community is now pricing natural gas as if there's no winter left, despite the long-range still showing a bias for colder than normal weather at the end of January into at least early February.  I guess we aren't the only ones having meltdowns.

Not to rub salt into our suffering wounds here, but right now in Fargo, ND it's -11°F with a -42° WC, and a snowpack of over a foot.  Happy New Year.

10 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Something interesting with the January 3-4th system now, it looks like another clipper type northern stream system brings some light snow to the region Thursday.

Maybe a few mood flakes will soften the gloomy mood in here.

27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Op runs versus Ens, post the GEFs when it finishes, if its like that That would be nice 

But the 2 previous GFS op runs looked just like that EPS run at d15.

GEFS looks like the Euro.

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Well a couple of things. SV is way liberal this time, 850 temps 11 to 15 and the 5H look while NAO looks better  EPO is further east PNA is flat looked zonal to me, pretty sure it will change. EPS has had end of run weenie snow for weeks now.

18Z GFS just made a big change to that d15 500h anomaly.

42 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Steve D

NY/NJWeather

 

Well, the stratospheric warming is happening right now.  Now we see how the dominos fall.  Sit back and relax, ENJOY THE SHOW!

I wouldn't be surprised if we get a major KU around MLK day, followed up by 2 or 3 more big snows in the next month or so, all accompanied by extreme cold in February.  The meltdowns here now will then turn to posts claiming the packs will last until April, lol.

49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Once there was this weenie who...got into an accident  checking models right after school.

but when he finally saw the euro, his hair...had turned from black into bright white

he said that it was from his laptop that he smashed soooooo haaaaarrrd. 

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Careful that upsets a few posters here 

Just now, weathafella said:

Euro may be similar to cmc based on what I’m seeing.

That would be an improvement.

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

Looking closer at the FV3, that's 6"+ for sure.. if only..

It was a foot for my hood, lol.

Some hope for Thurs-Fri on latest GFS.  It is late to the party as the GGEM has been showing this for a few runs now.  Euro will probably say "what hope?".  Marginal temps, though.

Edit- wrong thread.

In comparing the blizzards of 1978 and 2015, I'm reminded of the column Jon Keller of WBZ wrote shortly after the 2015 event comparing the two events.

Back in 1978 the blizzard brought people together, neighbor helping neighbor, strangers looking out for each other. After the 2015 blizzard, it was much easier to just retreat into your electronic cocoon.

And one more major difference - in 1978, when the snow melted and summer came, you knew the Red Sox would find a way to blow it. Nowadays, they’re just as likely to win it all again.

Big difference LR @ 500mb at hr 240 on 12z GFS vs Euro.

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Happy birthday young man. EPS is shaping up so we need to get this over with and on to 2019

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Happy birthday!  

Thanks fellow snow lovers.

2 hours ago, weathafella said:

I think most here have a lot of stuff in their lives but this is their place to weenie out with like minded folks.  My life was never altered in a negative way by ratter winters nor did it get qualitatively better with epicosity.   But like sports we enjoy it and feel if differently than most of the populace.  Nothing make this 72 year old feel more childlike than snow falling.

This 72 year old next week seconds that.

30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Strongly agree with DT here....also on the mid January train.

https://twitter.com/DTVaWeatherman

From the looks of that, we will be fairly dry the next 2 weeks- just some light rain or showers- with temps AN.  I'm closing the shades.

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

NYE has potential 

0z IKON has nice little event for some.

22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

If you're used to cutters then what could a few more hurt. It's not like there's any snow to melt. 

The melts would be from our northern friends.