SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Its been bone dry for 2 weeks now. It's not just that we had no snow but the fact that we can't get any precip at all. Currently we're in a moderate drought with very low reservoirs. If this continues into Spring we're going to be in trouble. Any storms (rain or snow) shown by models are in fantasy range.
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Agreed though not looking forward to mud season and potholes galore. Ground has been frozen for weeks. Big thaws won't be kind to it
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Cold really drilling now. 13F with-5 WC. Dews -7
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Models look like ass. Basically winter over
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Hopefully not because its been bone dry and that'll be an issue heading into spring
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Goes to show how warm its been this decade + when the period has felt so cold yet it barely ranks in the top 50 coldest.
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Not surprising given big switches in PNA/NAO/AO around that time. Unclear if it'll be rain/mix/snow or the exact date but the likelihood of storminess around then is high
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Really miss the parade of STJ infused southern stream crushers of the 2000s and early 2010s.
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If we're talking wind chill then maybe. 50 years is a stretch though.
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Very dry overall. Looks like the whole country has some drought conditions
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Something overlooked is how dry things have been and how we're all technically in a drought. Reservoirs are extremely low vs average.
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I imagine we could see some heavy squalls with the Arctic front. Some local accumulations of up to 2" wouldn't surprise me.
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Think spring could be quite brutal though it depends if it's more northwest vs easterly flow
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Models shifting wildly run to run. I would tread lightly with any solution this far out.
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Hopefully not. We'd be dealing with a lot of pot holes and even ice jams Not sure how bad the overall icing situation is though compared to 2015
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Which is why this weekend will feel so much worse than any "fake" cold Gusts 50-60mph
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PNA losing relevancy after mid Feb due to changing wavelengths. -PNA becomes more favorable for snows here than a +PNA by latter Feb.
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Whatever happens it definitely gets more active next week.
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A lot of confluence to our northeast next week so any system that tries to cut will have to redevelop off the coast. Could be sneaky active next week
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Warmest departures to our north as has been the theme for a while
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It's the wind that will really deliver the cold even if lows won't be anything record breaking. Low maxes too
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Friday February 6 FROPA / WINDEX small event
SnoSki14 replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Mesos will see any squall lines much better than globals. Nam should do well with this -
Looks a lot more active next week and noticing confluence playing a role and keeping storms from cutting. So maybe a lot of redevelopers and SWFEs.
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This little warmer reprieve will make the weekend cold sting that much harder. Have to see if models moderate it but could be the coldest weather of the season.
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It would be disappointing if we didn't get at least 30" for the season given how cold its been. Getting no snow in Feb & March (which I highly doubt) would be a major shutout.
