SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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Kind of a classic coastal fall day with cool air, breezy conditions and rain. Hopefully a good sign as coastal tracks of any kind have been hard to come by
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- heavy rain
- damaging wind
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Pressure gradient and prolonged east flow will pile water up.
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- heavy rain
- damaging wind
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GFS looking a bit stronger, more organized System does look quite potent on satellite
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- heavy rain
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Models backed off big time on this. Gonna be a long winter with these inconsistent model runs
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39F now. First 30s and coldest since like April. To think we had our AC on a couple days ago
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The way it evolves looks almost subtropical.
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If I wanted year long summer I'd be in Florida
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
But some will claim this is totally normal -
I think an oddball anomaly could still be possible in the snowier/colder direction that might generate this.
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Expect another SE ridge then
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Humans normalizing CC is exactly why we're all screwed. We're not far away from catastrophic events affecting our region whether it be extreme drought, hurricanes, California style fires, grid destroying heat in the summer and so forth. It's not that it's 80+ in October but rather how consistently warm it is.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Feels like a mid August night, not late September. And after the mild down later this week we're looking at another 5+ days of 80+ weather. Crazy stuff. Wild how a climate that's been stable for 1000s of years can change in less than half a lifetime. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
SnoSki14 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Probably lock that in all winter too. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I should have specified "our" version of winter so yes 40s and rain -
I think that's the future blueprint for tropical systems going forward in the CC era. More quality over quantity.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Honestly wouldn't be surprised to go from summer to winter in a hurry. That's been the case lately -
China has a lot of renewables and is moving in that direction but they're still accelerating on emissions. However I do think they're poised to become the leader here and I see a rapid reversal in the next 15-20 years.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There's a big ridge in the east. There's near 90F temps well into Canada forecast -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
What a blowtorch. We cool off maybe 1-2 days next week and then 80s well into October. Probably another top 3-5 warmest month likely -
I think some fluke snowy winters are still possible though if the warming has altered the Pacific pattern that much that it's irreversible then I'm not even confident about that. Kinda crazy that people born in the last few years may never experience another snowy winter in our region
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Unfortunately the slowly boiling frog in the pot applies here. Until we see undeniable catastrophic daily events globally then most will ignore it. Won't be long though. With current trends we'll see multiple unlivable conditions develop in a decade or so. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's called climate change and it's only gonna get worse. Endless summer year-round -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It won't develop until it gets into the Bahamas -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Big high coming in from Canada could squash this south while Humberto sneaks NE. Odds of any impacts from either are very low imo but still too early to tell.
