SnoSki14
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Everything posted by SnoSki14
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That will fuel more severe weather and flooding as well as additional tropical threats. I think the "dry summer" regime is dead for good.
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So a combo of that plus those 100+ readings
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This summer could be a brutal one rivaling the early 2010s imo. Nina sticking around + record SSTs offshore
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Just more multi day 70+ in mid March with severe thunderstorm potential...nothing alarming here.
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Keeping an eye on NAO/AO as they've been positive for months now. I think if they flip it won't be temporary. As long as it doesn't flip before May then spring should stay very warm
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I see upper 70s on Friday. Very easy to beat guidance this time of year with bare trees.
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It's almost 70F again and probably mid-up 70s by Friday. Sure it's nice now but this is very alarming. We're beating the newer records like it's nothing and it's only mid March.
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In 15 days a cool day is basically today's high.
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We're really tempting fate with these active hurricane seasons and strengthening SE ridging.
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Temperatures will be a full month ahead of schedule and there isn't even anomalous ridging. It's scary how fast we've warmed. The consequences won't be good.
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The only worry if we get an early bloom is a late season April cold shot. That's why it's good to wait until we're in the clear.
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Yup that's it for winter. Get ready for allergy season. Growing season will kick into high gear with temperatures mostly in the 60s a full month ahead of schedule. Weather wise it looks extremely boring
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Winds picking up and temps dropping again
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They also always answer him. You don't feed a troll. It's not hard to ignore and move on.
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I just put him on ignore and move on. Some of the attacks he gets are not justified though.
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This is a nice parting gift to an otherwise mediocre winter. The snow chapter closes until November (pending surprise late March/April event).
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That sleet base will make things very slick as temperatures continue to drop.
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Mostly snow here though you could still hear some pingers.
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Could see more sleet vs snow. Either way things will be messy later west of the city.
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We'll see what happens. Keep expectations low and maybe you'll be surprised. The biggest question mark is when does the changeover occur. If it happens quickly then you'll get more, if it's delayed you get less.
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The snowman method: pick the least snowiest model and run with it. If Rgem had a crusher he would say it's a terrible model. In addition even it got colder/snowier.
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Have to keep an eye on the changeover. If it flips quickly then we'll get a nice heavy snow burst with temps dropping into the 20s. Hopefully it's a positive bust for once
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That's what it'll come down to. That's how you get accumulations during the day in mid March.
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Very unusual to see temperatures drop into the 20s during the day in mid March. As long as dynamics hold this will be a flash freeze event. Forecast lows in the teens tomorrow night with wind chills near or below 0 with gusty conditions. Very impressive given very warm March so far.
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I think travel impacts are being underestimated. Models clearly showing temps crashing into the 20s by Saturday afternoon especially just west of the city. Good thing it's Saturday and not a weekday.
