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Hurricane Agnes

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  1. Hurricane Agnes
    12z GFS is running now and after the 6z kept the scraping, the 12z ticked west with the rest. The Euro had caved to move further to the west too but not as far as the 12z 12k (and 3k) NAM the furthest west.
  2. Hurricane Agnes
    Bottomed out at 54 this morning and the clouds have been rolling in since. Currently mostly cloudy and 69with dp 57.
  3. Hurricane Agnes
    Latest cone @11 am looks like it took a western jog -
  4. Hurricane Agnes
    The track is going to make a big difference as well as whether it really does get cut off as being hinted at, and stalls for a bit. If a band sets up over the area, there could be some pretty significant flooding. Fortunately we are almost 1/2 way between a new and full moon so any normally higher tides won't be there to make it worse.
  5. Hurricane Agnes
    8 am update -
  6. Hurricane Agnes
    As of the 5 am update 9/22/23 - Still on the fence about whether it will be a full fledged tropical storm or subtropical storm but in any case, it has intensified so will need to continue to watch.
  7. Hurricane Agnes
    8 pm cone and discussion -
  8. Hurricane Agnes
    I went on and made a PTC-16 (which may become TS Ophelia at some point) thread here - Impacts are expected to start some time late Friday afternoon and go all weekend depending on what happens with the northern high and any troughs swinging through.
  9. Hurricane Agnes
    It's been a long time since tracking "an event" (winter or any other season) so might as well do that since the CWA is in the cross-hairs.
  10. Hurricane Agnes
    Bottomed out at 54 this morning and am currently at my high of 73 with dp 51. And LOL...
  11. Hurricane Agnes
    Yesterday I had a 55/73 low/high and this morning I bottomed out a little cooler at 53, but made it up to 75 for a high. Stellar day. Have had more clouds today than yesterday and they continue to funnel in. It's currently 72 and partly sunny with dp 55. Am watching the system due to come by here this weekend and the model tracks are still all over the place (18Z GFS coastal scraping, 18Z NAMs (both res.) more to the west including coming inland along the coast, 12Z EC to the east of them all, just beyond scraping and the Canadian a sortof average between the EC and GFS). If it really does scrape or even come inland, that might cut some of the totals in this area although that could increase them further west. But being a longer duration storm thanks to an anticipated temporary blocking high to the north, then it could still build up some totals.
  12. Hurricane Agnes
    Made it up to 70 as a high today and the 0.58" was it, with a 1.42" 2-day total and 3.19" for the month. The sun actually popped out earlier this afternoon as the front pushed the rain off the coast and to the northeast, and that helped to drop the dews a bit. Currently 62 with dp 60.
  13. Hurricane Agnes
    I eventually finished up with 0.84" yesterday and had 0.37" early this morning before the new batch of rain moved in. Have picked up an additional 0.21" since, for a total of 0.58" for the day so far, and a total of 1.42" for the 2-day event. Yay! Bottomed out at 60 this morning and am currently an overcast and misty 64 with dp 63.
  14. Hurricane Agnes
    Almost another 1/4" received from yet another negatively-tilted line giving me 0.84" in the bucket for the day so far at post time. Grateful! Currently misty and 65 with dp 65.
  15. Hurricane Agnes
    Got another thin bandlette of heavier rain move through from SW -> NE, this time positively tilted, giving me an additional 0.27" and am now getting some general light rain as the big blob moves in from the west. So far have 0.60" in the bucket at post time. Temp is 65 with dp 65.
  16. Hurricane Agnes
    Just had a negatively tilted thin band of showers pass through moving from SW -> NE giving me 0.32". Rates had reached upwards of 1.75"/hr briefly before it moved on. I was hoping I hadn't jinxed it since I had put my patio umbrella down. I did make it up to 80 before the rain hit and it's currently overcast and looks like a big break before another batch *might* come through from out west but we shall see. Currently 66 with dp a more humid 65.
  17. Hurricane Agnes
    Topped off at 76 yesterday as a high and bottomed out at 52 this morning, the latter being the coolest of the month so far, although the temp quickly rebounded back into the upper 60s by mid morning. It's been mostly sunny all morning but is starting to cloud over and the dp is also creeping up. Currently partly sunny and 78 with dp 59.
  18. Hurricane Agnes
    Nope. They usually don't let you migrate the data to a new station. I still have my old one online at WU (that is about 8 years old and I brought it with me when I moved to my current location) and saw no way to move the name to the newer one (had to create a new ID). Both are Ambients and when I got the newer one, Ambient had set up its own site so I have the newer one reporting to both (WU doesn't recognize the lightning data nor the PM sensor data). However I also have my newer one's data being sniffed by a little gateway guy and I feed that to a Raspberry Pi to display internally, and that data is on the Pi so I do at least have that. I think WU does let you create a data backup (they have putzed with their site on and off for a bunch of years when they were bought so I had periodically tried to download the data from the older station). As an obs, I was a smidge warmer this morning than yesterday morning (55 vs 53) and am actually at my high for the day so far of 76. Have lots of blue sky and a dp of 54 so an ideal, albeit cool (with the breeze) day.
  19. Hurricane Agnes
    Made it up to 77 for a high yesterday and with dps in the 50s, that made it ideal. Bottomed out at a cool 53 this morning, that would almost suggest good radiational cooling but the winds were going all night so probably CAA. Currently mostly sunny and 61 with dp a remarkable 50. Last low in the '50s IMBY was a 58 during the summer solstice, in that case on 6/22/23.
  20. Hurricane Agnes
    Eventually finished up with 0.19" overnight and early this morning. Bottomed out at 68, and the sun has popped out. Currently 77 with dp 68, as the clouds continue clearing out leaving some puffy cumulus in their wake.
  21. Hurricane Agnes
    Had a loud thunder just before 3 am here and figured it was pouring cats and dogs but found I only got 0.18". Finished with a high of 85 yesterday and it's currently a damp and steamy 68 with dp 68.
  22. Hurricane Agnes
    He seemed to make sure he had on some kind of long sleeve something (hoodie, etc). And he is from Brazil, so I can imagine some huge ones there. I ended up with a low of 64 this morning and one thing that did help was the advection behind the front that took the dps down some. It's currently partly sunny with lots of cumulus and a temp of 84 with dp 65. Flood Watch up.
  23. Hurricane Agnes
    Have to add this-- I stumbled on this update this evening - NOAA completed their supercomputer upgrades last month for the models - https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-completes-upgrade-to-weather-and-climate-supercomputer-system Supposed to be a more hi-res GFS (among other things). I was kinda following this the past 2 years. Looking forward to more 10-day fantasy storms this winter, but now in hi-res! As an obs - am currently 73 with dp 70.
  24. Hurricane Agnes
    As predicted. A swing and a fizzle miss. Margot just got her wings and is now a Cat 1. ETA - I just looked at the 18z GFS and that can't be Margot - at least verbatim, due to the angle that it is coming in (following Lee's track). It could be one of the 2 disturbances that came off the west coast of Africa that are being monitored or something "home grown" closer to this hemisphere. NHC has Margot pretty much moving due north from where it is at the moment (with some east/west wobble). Currently mostly cloudy post-sunset and 75 with dp 70.
  25. Hurricane Agnes
    Seeing some angry-looking clouds to the west as a convective line slowly moves east. Am assuming cells will fizzle over me but we'll see... It did make it up to 83 today before clouding over and it's currently mostly cloudy and 80 with dp 73.
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