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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes
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I'm north of you and am at 28 with dp 24. I actually bottomed out at 23 at about 2:15 am this morning and the temp/dp has been creeping up ever since.
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NBM holding with what it might be thinking will be a warm nose intrusion in the midst of this (cutting down on totals by the end of the storm).
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Been awhile since we have seen one of these!
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Yup it is. The models seem to have been sensing what amounts to 2 lows (or maybe one as a shortwave/disturbance that gets fired up with the low that is supposed to move up from the GOM). It's interesting to see how that manifests on a run though!
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12z Euro decided to keep the low inland all the way up until it got close to here and then says - "oh yeah, better head on out over the water".
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
The bottom fell out overnight with the CAA, despite the breezes kicking up during that time, and my low was 23 this morning, with dp going as low as 15. It's been slow to recover with the weak sun but it's currently 29 with dp 18. Humidifiers working overtime. You and penndotguy with the "big shovels" at the ready! -
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You guys up there are probably fine. The trends have generally been more frozen than wet. The question mark would be a possible warm nose that might push up there at some point. 3k NAM.
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Oh I know.... I read something about it either last year or the year before last and it was fascinating to see what other data is fed into it outside of the "models" we (as in us lay folks) see.
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With the "warmish" ocean water, that was sure to bomb out but not down here based on where it emerges off the coast. The coastal hugger scenario has been a trend for the past couple days in any case.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Bottomed out at 34 this morning and made it up to 43 for a high with the sun out most of the time, but with some periods of unsettled weather as a weak front moved through. That front brought much drier air and it's currently 37 with dp down to 22. -
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Note the NAM ice & ZR maps. 18z GFS is running but the 19z NBM ain't buying what the NAM is selling.
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12z NAM is running right now (and we are coming into its range). Will have to see how it depicts any dynamics (since it is a convective model).
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I saw this video this morning on a news site and thought of this group! This is where the snow went (on the other side of the planet).