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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes
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They broke a record in Central Park last night right when they had (stupidly) went on with that concert there and then had to halt it about halfway through and cancel the rest because of --> WPC actually still has part of SE PA as Marginal for their Day 2 -
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NHC 5 pm Advisory (weakened to 40 mph sustained, speed slowed to 7 mph and now moving WNW, with pressure up to 997 mb) -
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NHC's 2 pm update (storm down to 50 mph sustained, has slowed to 9 mph, moving NW, and weakened to 991 mb) -
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Hurricane Bob in 1991 (although Bob was much stronger than Henri) - https://www.weather.gov/mhx/HurricaneBob1991EventReview https://www.weather.gov/box/hurricane_bob And interestingly enough, it almost looks like a similar rainfall pattern too, although the track was a little different (not the Harvey-like getting cutoff and stall before moving out that seems to be progged for Henri) -
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The fire hose flow is just bizarre. It is spraying moisture from NY, NNW across NNJ and NEPA, and literally all the way out to central PA, where it starts "falling" (dropping) south, and then recurving around to the SE down into MD and across central DE. There's a big hole in between. It's like a giant hook or a hot wheels track or something.
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NHC 12:30 pm update - LANDFALL in Western RI approx. 12:15 pm -
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A bunch of the NNJ folks have been posting in the NY Metro forum.
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Mt. Holly's 24 hr precip estimate (as of 8 am, posted 9:13 am) - You can see the sharp cutoff - ETA - I am currently 1.44" for the day so far (1.51" for the 2 day event at post time).
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NHC 11 am update (weakening and down to 60 mph, at 987 mb, and slowing to 12 mph -
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Looks we are at or close to landfall in RI. It's hard to tell (at least on doppler) due to all the convection.
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Here was NHC's 8 am update that I had been waiting on after their 7 am downgrade (still slowing and down to 16 mph, direction change to NNW, pressure holding) -
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You can see the southern boundary of the fire hose has been drying up. The question would be whether the returns that are west will move around as a pivot as the storm continues to lift to the north.
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Will have to see if that band pivots any further south. I'm up to 1.39" for the day so far although the rate is very light/misty at the moment. This plus yesterday's 0.07" has me at 1.46" so far for the event and now at a whopping 8.31" for the month of August, with 10 days left, an not even at the peak of hurricane season!
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Looks like NHC dropped it back down to a Tropical Storm at 7 am. NHC 7 am Update (winds dropped to 70 mph and now back to a TS, speed slowed to 18 mph, but pressure deepened to 986 mb) -
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Will have to see if the pivot maintains the moisture funnel as it seems Mt. Holly was suggesting it could start drying up by the western-most parts as the system lifts to the north. What is throwing the wrench in nailing how it sets up is the ULL south of here that is helping to feed moisture up this way.
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So far this morning am continuing to get on and off light to moderate rain and am currently at 1.33" for the day (1.40" for the event). My low of 71 (so far) is happening now as my current temp, with dp 71. You can see the fire hose of moisture on radar.
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I saw a post from someone on a different (non-weather related) forum who lives in Memphis, give a heads up on that excessive rain event in central TN (I think south of Nashville).
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Am wondering if it eventually pivots around to pass over you once it landfalls and briefly starts heading to the west before swinging back east again.
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Looks like the more east solution appears to have been correct as the cone has been moving back east. Will have to see where the band pivots. Now have 1.08" in the bucket at about 1/3rd in/hr (1.15" total for the event). Not getting much wind though.
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I just hit the 1.01" mark for rain as I'm on the SW side of the deathband but still getting the moderate rain. When the light returns began here yesterday before I went offline, I had 0.01" in the bucket. As of midnight, ended up with 0.07" total for yesterday and am now at 1.08" at post time, for the event.
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NHC 2 am update (continues to strengthen a tick to 987 mb, now moving N and has sped up to 21 mph) -
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Looks like I'm finally getting light drizzle - at least enough to wet the street and walks but not enough to tip the bucket yet. And the steamy windows have commenced! NHC 8 pm update (has now strengthened a bit with pressure down to 988 mb but everything else is steady as he goes) -
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I'm seeing an interesting sunset - which is due to the fact there is a sunset as it has been overcast all afternoon. I am guessing because the bands are moving in from the SE, opposite of where the sun is setting. Even though the radar is showing some returns over me, it's like virga (at least so far). Currently 76 with dp 73. Mt. Holly retweeted WPC's latest -
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LOL Was about to post something similar. GMTA! I love GOES-16 "truecolor" band. The resolution is just amaing and you can see some wild stuff that goes on in the atmosphere like is happening here.
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