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Hurricane Agnes

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  1. Hurricane Agnes
    I saw a post from someone on a different (non-weather related) forum who lives in Memphis, give a heads up on that excessive rain event in central TN (I think south of Nashville).
  2. Hurricane Agnes
    Am wondering if it eventually pivots around to pass over you once it landfalls and briefly starts heading to the west before swinging back east again.
  3. Hurricane Agnes
    Looks like the more east solution appears to have been correct as the cone has been moving back east. Will have to see where the band pivots. Now have 1.08" in the bucket at about 1/3rd in/hr (1.15" total for the event). Not getting much wind though.
  4. Hurricane Agnes
    I just hit the 1.01" mark for rain as I'm on the SW side of the deathband but still getting the moderate rain. When the light returns began here yesterday before I went offline, I had 0.01" in the bucket. As of midnight, ended up with 0.07" total for yesterday and am now at 1.08" at post time, for the event.
  5. Hurricane Agnes
    NHC 2 am update (continues to strengthen a tick to 987 mb, now moving N and has sped up to 21 mph) -
  6. Hurricane Agnes
    Looks like I'm finally getting light drizzle - at least enough to wet the street and walks but not enough to tip the bucket yet. And the steamy windows have commenced! NHC 8 pm update (has now strengthened a bit with pressure down to 988 mb but everything else is steady as he goes) -
  7. Hurricane Agnes
    I'm seeing an interesting sunset - which is due to the fact there is a sunset as it has been overcast all afternoon. I am guessing because the bands are moving in from the SE, opposite of where the sun is setting. Even though the radar is showing some returns over me, it's like virga (at least so far). Currently 76 with dp 73. Mt. Holly retweeted WPC's latest -
  8. Hurricane Agnes
    LOL Was about to post something similar. GMTA! I love GOES-16 "truecolor" band. The resolution is just amaing and you can see some wild stuff that goes on in the atmosphere like is happening here.
  9. Hurricane Agnes
    Actually made it up to 84 today (at about 2:15 pm) thanks to the sun during the morning and despite the gradual hazy and later overcast skies. It's currently a "tropical" but cloudy 80 with dp 73, and is a bit humid and stuffy out.
  10. Hurricane Agnes
    NHC 5 pm Advisory (continuing to hold NNE and 991 mb, but has now further increased forward speed to 18 mph) - And as a side note, Hurricane Grace has officially "dissipated" over south central Mexico as of 5 pm EDT.
  11. Hurricane Agnes
    Yeah have been watching that and it has been steadily moving from SE --> NW towards the river.
  12. Hurricane Agnes
    I love finding sites (I try to bookmark them) that have all sorts of stuff to play with. For example this site (has microwave gifs of tropoical systems) - http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2021_08L/web/mainpage.html I think some think they might be useless but I think they are cool visualizing the position and movement of a system.
  13. Hurricane Agnes
    I was looking at the mid and lower level vapor sat images and there's dry air trying to get into the circulation of Henri from the west and Henri is literally jammed up against a "wall" of shear on the eastern side. So you can actually see what looks like a pipe funneling clouds up here.
  14. Hurricane Agnes
    NWS 2 pm Advisory (holding steady on the same trajectory but has now sped up to 17 mph, with pressure holding at 991 mb) -
  15. Hurricane Agnes
    It actually has an eye-looking formation appearing on vis sat. And yeah, the models have been suggesting whatever would be an equivalent to a Fujiwara between it and the Low south of here with the two of them taking a road trip together up north. I think that Henri just got caught in some kind of flow that has been accelerating the speed since it is going faster now as of the 2 pm update.
  16. Hurricane Agnes
    You can see the moisture feed flowing right up here. The radar is showing some kind of returns over the Toms River area but I'm not sure if there is actually rain going on there or not.
  17. Hurricane Agnes
    Hrrr still soaking the area through tomorrow morning.
  18. Hurricane Agnes
    Mt. Holly is claiming "through tomorrow" so it might depend on whether the stall/loop-de-loop happens that has been showing up in some models and it hangs around a bit longer and/or whether it does actually speed up its forward motion and gets swept away back off the coast. Your point forecast for Mt. Holly is calling for 70% chance of showers all day tomorrow and then down to 50% overnight and 40% Monday.
  19. Hurricane Agnes
    I think it may start sometime late this afternoon and overnight into tomorrow. I'm looking at the doppler and the top part of one of Henri's bands is right off the coast.
  20. Hurricane Agnes
    Henri is gonna grab his buddy Low and run on up to Boston to smack the sh!t outta them after that Iggles debacle.
  21. Hurricane Agnes
    Blame South Jersey for being the flat "coastal plain". Will soon have a beach along the Delaware River with the Atlantic lapping up along it!
  22. Hurricane Agnes
    We called that the "death band". Seriously though, the issue will be if something like that does come to fruition and Henri pivots around leaving the band in place across the same areas as the storm slowly moves further N/NE. It's currently accelerated from its slow 6/7 mph up to 12/14 mph, but some earlier comments had been that it might not do a typical "getting swept up in the jetstream bolt" to something like 20+ mph like these storms tend to do when they get up here. So if it stays in the low-mid teens for forward motion, that could produce some prolonged rain banding as it creeps over the colder water and weakens.
  23. Hurricane Agnes
    Slapping my obs in for the time being as it may be a busy day/evening. I ended up with an 82 high yesterday and actually picked up 0.07" of rain from the system that moved through during the early morning. The low this morning was 70 and the sun really came out nicely, with few clouds - literally the calm before the storm. But they are streaming in now with the northern most bands of Henri getting closer (although still offshore). Currently getting overcast skies and temp at 79 with dp 73. One thing that is slowly being pointed out too is that we are now under a Full Moon so that is definitely going to impact the tides as the storm moves by.
  24. Hurricane Agnes
    NHC 11 am Advisory (now upgraded to a hurricane, has intensified to 991 mb, and sped up a bit to 14 mph) -
  25. Hurricane Agnes
    12z NAM showing that prolonged band of rain over south Jersey and SE PA.
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