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Volcanic Winter

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Everything posted by Volcanic Winter

  1. Volcanic Winter
    Checking in from Toms River, looking good!
  2. Volcanic Winter
    Surprised how slow this place is right now. The NE thread is like a ....*cough*.. bomb cyclone.
  3. Volcanic Winter
    80 inches to NYC. Color depicted in ultraviolet since it breaks the map.
  4. Volcanic Winter
    No wonder the models are running wonky, they have snow on them!
  5. Volcanic Winter
    Look at the difference at the coast.
  6. Volcanic Winter
    So it begins in Toms River. Let’s go!
  7. Volcanic Winter
    NJ central / southern coast has been in and out of a secondary bullseye as well.
  8. Volcanic Winter
    The snark is hilarious. Love it.
  9. Volcanic Winter
    Was feeling pretty locked into 12-18 down in Ocean County, wondering if that'll end up verifying. The NAM's fever dream made that appear very likely with a chance of over-performance. Regardless, hopefully ends up a good event and hoping for ticks back west to get more of you in on the fun.
  10. Volcanic Winter
    Sticking snow in Hillside NJ here at work. Nice dusting so far.
  11. Volcanic Winter
    How about a little mood music before the storm? Definitely for fans of heavier music or otherwise someone with open minded tastes: Insomnium - Winter's Gate A melodic death / progressive metal concept album about a group of Vikings trying to find a fabled island west of Ireland in a harsh winter. It's frankly incredible, give it a shot. https://youtu.be/IaSTSOtvIS4
  12. Volcanic Winter
    Woke up early to a literal NAM nuke on Toms River, which feels like a fever dream. Illustrates how much any westward shift at this point can up the ante for us. I've been expecting 12-18 or so, but perhaps I can be bribed upward if that NAM keeps insisting....
  13. Volcanic Winter
    Trying to reach Long Island after the storm.
  14. Volcanic Winter
  15. Volcanic Winter
    I feel titilated.
  16. Volcanic Winter
    I really would love more of the meteorologists here to chime in today. Forky-san, I need your prophetic guidance! With that said, certainly very aware how busy they are.
  17. Volcanic Winter
    Any chance the models are underestimating the effect of the SSTs? I can't logically offer anything on why they would, but they are anomalously high this year. Lots of energy.
  18. Volcanic Winter
    If it's correct. Are you going to stake on it? Why aren't the pros in terms of snow forecasts? Would be no watches anywhere in the area even for me. With respect, this is too volatile to just conclude the GFS is right. And yet, it absolutely could prove to be. Crazy times. This is extremely volatile especially with the precarious set up. Maybe the GFS has the best solution, maybe its slightly underestimating. I don't feel confident either way.
  19. Volcanic Winter
    If we all band together can we form a spirit bomb and throw it into the trough, Goku style?
  20. Volcanic Winter
    There are stages of interactions that lead to the surface depiction. If one of the earlier and more crucial stages is showing a more favorable look than before above the surface, going forward it could lead to more significant changes downstream even if the current run doesn't show it yet. Atleast that would be my ELI5 understanding.
  21. Volcanic Winter
    Next run: GFS coastal bomb with two feet totals Euro: Iceland storm. Dusting to 1 inch here.
  22. Volcanic Winter
    Even though temps moderate down by me we can still get very cold. The low at my house for this January is 6. And we tend to be in a prime spot for nor'easters of this nature. I'd still rather live north and will move north someday, but I definitely don't hate this location relative to big storm potential.
  23. Volcanic Winter
    Sorry, live in Ocean work in Union.
  24. Volcanic Winter
    You have to, man. Seriously. Respectfully, you can't drop a bomb on people at the last minute in an area with millions and millions of people.
  25. Volcanic Winter
    I'm under one for 6-12.
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