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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. MJO812
    Cmc is alot colder This might be a cad event so the Gfs would be last month to use in that regards. Cmc I wouldn't use either. Let's see the euro Gfs thermals usually suck in cad events. Look at November event. Not saying it's the same thing but gfs usually does terrible in cad events. This still looks like snow to rain with a few inches.
  2. MJO812
    I agree Not sure if he said on the ground or 7 weeks left for winter.
  3. MJO812
    Well we did have a snowy march last Year
  4. MJO812
    The Mid Atlantic posters are talking about how the GEFS have a great blocking signal in the long range. Hopefully it's true.
  5. MJO812
    Every model has the MJO going into 8 next week so that's most likely a good forecast. Now there are other factors along with the MJO. Right now this is the worst winter ever ( worse than 2001-2002) Lets get more snow on Tuesday and beyond to not make this the worst winter
  6. MJO812
    People bring up having a negative NAO. Yes it's essential to have a huge snowstorm but I rather have a + PNA than a negative NAO. Pac >Atlantic
  7. MJO812
    I agree Everyone thought this winter was going to be good because of the weak El Nino . Majority of forecasts had NYC at 30-40 inches and even some had it more than that. The SSW likely caused the MJO to be all over the place. If the SSW didn't happen, this would probably be a good winter. We still have a chance to be near average if the pattern gets better by next week and beyond but time is running out unless we get a March 2018 redux.
  8. MJO812
    I think snow to rain for the coast and snow inland for tuesday's storm
  9. MJO812
    MJO plots
  10. MJO812
    Agree and that what it looks like to be the case
  11. MJO812
    Different pattern Not all rain
  12. MJO812
    Or maybe it will stall in 8 which would be great.
  13. MJO812
    Too early to say what this upcoming storm will be since we are 4 days out.
  14. MJO812
    It depends how strong the lakes cutter is going to be. The weaker the better for us. Still some time to iron this out
  15. MJO812
    This would have been a good winter if the MJO didn't get stuck in 5 and 6 for a while.
  16. MJO812
    Looks like a stormy pattern is going to develop. It's going to be tough to reach normal but 1 storm can do it for our area. A little snow Monday and maybe a few inches before the rain on Wednesday.
  17. MJO812
    Looks like a classic snow to rain for next week's storm.
  18. MJO812
    Winter might end the same way it did last winter.
  19. MJO812
    It's a cutter with development. The transfer is key.
  20. MJO812
    Looks like a thump to some rain Take anything you can I this pattern and hopefully the pattern gets better when it travels through 8.
  21. MJO812
    Para has 10+ for the NYC area ( Mostly snow and sleet ) Snow to rain
  22. MJO812
    I think we see a few inches on the front end unless the transfer happens earlier.
  23. MJO812
    Gfs is very active in the long range. Not shocking since the mjo will be in the active phases.
  24. MJO812
    Monday and then Wednesday
  25. MJO812
    It's going to snow 2 times next week
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