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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. MJO812
    I thought the Euro is usually overamped and the gfs is too progressive.
  2. MJO812
    If we want to see snow on the coast we have to hope for the trough to pass the coast before the precip comes up so it can ride the boundary. We also have to hope that the flow slows down. We haven't had a big phase in a long time . Can we finally have one ?
  3. MJO812
    Euro AI ensembles are west of the op. I expect the ridge on the east coast to pump more due to the negative PNA. I expect shifts west but the question becomes how much far west?
  4. MJO812
    Euro is also weak and suppressed.
  5. MJO812
    Ukie is very weak
  6. MJO812
    Gefs
  7. MJO812
    Im expecting that. Enjoy the snow.
  8. MJO812
    Still something to track
  9. MJO812
    Im saying that the PV will not become strong. I expect cold most of this month with active conditions. Beating a dead horse ? Snowman, you have been wrong so far about this upcoming pattern along with others. I wouldn't be puffing your chest out if I was you. Why are you ignoring the MJO projection . PV will take another hit soon.
  10. MJO812
    PV forecast
  11. MJO812
    Phase 8 and Phase 1 are cold in negative enso years.
  12. MJO812
    Quite possible. Just need the right track. Here is the 6z gfs
  13. MJO812
    Ukie is also on board with the storm along the front.
  14. MJO812
    Nice ridge out west and plenty of cold. What a turnaround from the models.
  15. MJO812
    Gfs is active and cold . Nice to see.
  16. MJO812
    Is this for a weak La Nina? We have to see whats going to happen because next week was supposed to be warm and now look.
  17. MJO812
    Phase 8 /1 isnt warm
  18. MJO812
    Might have to after 0z gfs
  19. MJO812
    Anyone looking at the 0z gfs ? Nice snowstorm next week.
  20. MJO812
    Heavy rain here
  21. MJO812
    Winter is coming
  22. MJO812
  23. MJO812
  24. MJO812
    18z AI Euro ticked northwest. Gives the coast and Inland some accumulations.
  25. MJO812
    But the MJO is forecast to spend 7 to 10 days in phase 8. Im not sure if its going to be warm mid month. I can see a slight warmup but nothing lasting
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