Not at all. The progression is still there on the MJO and the models .
We should be in phase 8 by mid December. Also , the models keep showing warmth in the long range until it gets closer and it cools off.
Larry Cosgrove thinks December will be mild and January and February will be colder.
I haven't heard anyone say that expect him. All I have been hearing and seeing are cold and active December forecasts due to the PV.
The 1st week of December does look mild though. Delayed but not denied ?
Im going to remain patient. The Nina is dying and the MJO is going to go into 7/8 and most likely 1.
The models are really struggling. Thanksgiving and its weekend warmup went poof so is the week 1 warmup which consists of plus 20 day skewing the entire week
Here's another warm bust in the making