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MJO812

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Everything posted by MJO812

  1. Classic Nina December is better for points south . It gets tougher once you get to February .
  2. Not at all. The progression is still there on the MJO and the models . We should be in phase 8 by mid December. Also , the models keep showing warmth in the long range until it gets closer and it cools off.
  3. First half warmth ? I think its will be the opposite if the MJO goes into 8 next month.
  4. Euro weeklies yesterday vs new euro ensembles for the same week. Deamplying the ridge in the east. This is what we need.
  5. We need it to cooperate. It is a bigger factor than the nao imo.
  6. Are they even useful anymore ? Even if they showed cold they shouldn't come out everyday. We have to be patient
  7. I think you will. 12z models are showing a better press with the storms ahead.
  8. Colder trend on the gfs and cmc for those storms. Lets see if it continues.
  9. All the ensembles bring down the cold after the first week. No clue what the panic is right now.
  10. Maybe no one on here but plenty of people have. Also , no clue why are you throwing in the towel in November. You do this all the time.
  11. Larry Cosgrove thinks December will be mild and January and February will be colder. I haven't heard anyone say that expect him. All I have been hearing and seeing are cold and active December forecasts due to the PV.
  12. Yes right now but it shouldn't last. Delayed but not denied
  13. The 1st week of December does look mild though. Delayed but not denied ? Im going to remain patient. The Nina is dying and the MJO is going to go into 7/8 and most likely 1.
  14. The models are really struggling. Thanksgiving and its weekend warmup went poof so is the week 1 warmup which consists of plus 20 day skewing the entire week Here's another warm bust in the making
  15. Negative to neutral NAO and PNA to just cooperate.
  16. Its not guaranteed but the signals are looking good. Ensembles are still showing a favorable pattern. Op runs will still flip flop
  17. Its not facts at all. We are going into a favorable pattern .
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