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Iceresistance

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Everything posted by Iceresistance

  1. The EPO is extremely positive, & the models are underestimating how long it's lasting right now.
  2. EPO is extremely Positive & the models have underestimated how long it's being positive right now, it would be a HUGE anomaly to have the EPO positive for the Entire Winter as well.
  3. End of the 12z GFS is February 2021 all over again . . .
  4. The AO also must be Negative for this to work as well. And the 12z GFS is surging the Cold air faster compared to the 6z run.
  5. These 1060+ MB Highs are not to be messed around at all on the 6z GFS! 1067 MB over Western Canada & 1060 MB over Montana at the same time! Another 1059 MB over Montana Powerful Greenland & Alaska Blocks will also cause multiple rounds of Cold Waves in December Really Cold Temperatures 3 Big Winter Storms to boot as well 24-Hour Kuchera Snowfall Totals
  6. Or unless there is extreme model consistency & agreement up to 14 days out?
  7. Round #1 is in Early December right now, I forgot to say that there is strong model consistency on the Early December Cold Wave (Round #1) here, LOL
  8. CFS model is very consistent with the December Cold Wave Round #2 (And maybe #3) at around Christmas Week, not a very good timing for my Christmas trip plans though . . .
  9. All but one model (12z CMC) is in agreement for a blast of Cold Air in Early December, the Euro is colder faster than the GFS. The 12z GEFS is showing a loose signal of snow in the Southern Plains from December 5th to December 10th.
  10. Many models are very consistent with the December Cold Blast, the only model that does not show it right now is the 12z CMC, even the 12z GEFS is showing a loose signal for snow in the Southern Plains from December 5th to December 10th.
  11. Happy Thanksgiving Y'all, the 12z GFS is showing a powerful Cold Wave in Early December
  12. Forgot to add that the CFS model is still showing an active Winter Pattern for December
  13. The GFS model is getting me concerned for Early December, very consistent on an Active pattern with Winter Storms in December, but the problem is that it's not consistent for the Storms.
  14. GEFS hinting something later towards possibly December, 18z GFS has jumped in with the GEFS, except it's earlier.
  15. The 12z GEFS has showed this at the end of the run: Greenland & Alaska Blocks are really strong, & it will go the Central & Southern Plains if there is a East Coast Block like what happened in February 2021 The GEFS has been showing something like this lately, but not the arctic buildup into a cold wave in good detail until now.
  16. Oh yes, we're overdue for Back-to-back February cold waves that happens once in around 20 years
  17. AO & NAO much more positive than expected, snow is no longer expected for the Southern Plains.
  18. 12z GFS never materialized the cold for the Southern Plains on Thanksgiving, however, this is the same timeframe from the February 2021 Extreme Cold & Snow, when the models started lose some of the consistency before regaining it 24-48 hours before the event.
  19. The models do have a strong tendency to underestimate on how long the blocking pattern lasts, just like what happened in February 2021
  20. Not for me, KFOR & the Euro are showing Snow for basically all of Oklahoma on Thanksgiving Day & Black Friday
  21. Need to really keep an eye on Thanksgiving Week, the models are in general agreement (Now with the 18z GFS) with a chilly blast of cold air, the 12z Euro has a 9-12 inch snowstorm along I-44 from Chickasha to Missouri
  22. 12z Euro model showing this at the end of the model run . . .
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