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Iceresistance

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Everything posted by Iceresistance

  1. Iceresistance
    18z GFS has 2 Major Winter Storms for Thanksgiving week.
  2. Iceresistance
    Here's some things to know about the Winter Teleconnections as we head into Winter: Positive AO: No Cold air present or primed to dive southward, warmer mid-latitudes as well. Neutral AO: Cold Air North, Warmer to the south, no changes soon. Negative AO: This is where the fun begins, the Warmer Air surges north, displacing the cold air & causing the Polar Jet to dive down into the Mid-Latitudes, bringing cold & snow with it. Positive NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation): No features that could cause a block in the Jet Stream Negative NAO: Features a blocking pattern, forcing the Jet Stream to dive down into the CONUS, bringing cold & snowy weather with it as well. Positive PNA: Alaska Low & Ridging in the Western USA, any cold air that comes will be dislodged towards the East Coast Neutral PNA: Weaker features, allows the cold to spill into the Central & Southern Plains Negative PNA: Alaska Ridge & West Pacific Trough, any cold air will be shoved into the Western USA
  3. Iceresistance
    First Freeze of the season, 30°F
  4. Iceresistance
    Gone
  5. Iceresistance
    TORNADO ON THE GROUND NE OF DUNCAN, OK!
  6. Iceresistance
    Possible Couplet picking up on radar near Piedmont, Velocity is weak right now but it could ramp up since it's in a favorable environment for supercells.
  7. Iceresistance
    I know! October was basically May except 5 months late! It appears that there is a solid tornado threat for Oklahoma, especially the squall line tornado threat.
  8. Iceresistance
    Very strong concern for my area (Central Oklahoma), SE Oklahoma, & Southern Oklahoma tonight. the SPC is calling for a higher chance of Tornadoes, up to Tennis Ball sized hail & 70 mph wind gusts. It appears that the area of Highest Instability is along & east of I-35, along & south of I-40, along & west of US-75 or US-69, & along & north of US-70.
  9. Iceresistance
    Well, that got interesting.
  10. Iceresistance
    It's the Hurricane-force low ~500 Miles ENE of Bermuda, would it be crazy if it became a SS Hurricane?
  11. Iceresistance
    Can someone please put out the Analogs for the back-to-back February Cold Waves? (1977 & 1978 for example) I saw it on an another forum, but I've since lost it.
  12. Iceresistance
    More like, later this winter.
  13. Iceresistance
    I can also confirm that this La Nina may have caused the PV to become more unstable & will dive down somewhere in the Northern Hemisphere.
  14. Iceresistance
    The GFS is consistently showing an active winter pattern across the Central & Southern Plains, but the timing & storms strength is not in full agreement yet.
  15. Iceresistance
    Yeah, I can confirm that this also happened when the GFS-Para existed as well.
  16. Iceresistance
    Or if it develops consistency, like what it did in February 2021
  17. Iceresistance
    The 12z GFS is getting me very strongly concerned for the Northern Plains, very high impact storm next weekend for the area with Blizzard conditions. Parts of Western Nebraska will get up to 40 inches of snow with 9 to 12 Feet snowdrifts, the Dakotas & parts of Minnesota will have 2-3 Feet of snow with 5-8 Feet Snowdrifts.
  18. Iceresistance
    Wanda has become Post-Tropical
  19. Iceresistance
    I do want to mention that the CFS is having unusual consistency on possible winter weather in the Central/Southern Plains in early December.
  20. Iceresistance
    The GFS model does have some consistency on this, but the timing & how cold it would get is not consistent.
  21. Iceresistance
  22. Iceresistance
  23. Iceresistance
    What does that mean?
  24. Iceresistance
    Ryan Maue has put this concerning tweet (twit), mostly for Texas though I do believe that this Double Dip La Nina has caused the Polar Vortex to become unstable & spill somewhere in the Northern Hemisphere, but where is the question.
  25. Iceresistance
    My Southern Plains Winter Forum:
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