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Everything posted by Iceresistance
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The GFS has been abnormally consistent with this storm, & Mike Ventrice has his concerning forecast for those areas March 29th & 30th. Some models are having trouble with the exact dates, but there is strong consistency of the event ending on March 30th, so I've put down March 27th-30th until we get a better visual on this.
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Based on the tornado videos, this is likely a EF3/EF4 Tornado, I'm shocked that there are no deaths right now, even though that's likely going to go up.
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Tornado Reports in Mississippi have EXPLODED! It looks like that Edwards & Goodman got hit.
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Radar is showing the Squall line appearing to break into discrete Supercells
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Warm Sector storms are already developing in Louisiana
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Got word that one has died in Grayson County on the Texas Side of Lake Texhoma, this was confirmed by a Mod on a different forum.
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Houston does not look good at all for Severe Weather. (You're in Houston, which is in the Central & Western States forum)
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Enhanced risk has been expanded into DFW, & so has the Hatched area for Tornadoes.
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It's the Nightmare Scenario, I'm thinking that Schools will go virtual because of this, on the May 2019 High Risk Day, my School shut down because they don't want a Moore 2013 Repeat.
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The sounding may be contaminated, but the storms there may recommend a Enhanced risk for DFW if the other Mesoscale models follow suit
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I don't think that, today is Sunday & it's usually the lowest number online per day average.
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Something is with the NAM model, it keeps trending North with the STP & Supercell composite. Found this sounding west of DFW
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You can experience the craziest weather (My Grandmother had to use the AC, then the Heater during the same day), have mostly rural views, & most of the time, you can see tornadoes coming from miles away. And also, if you lived in Oklahoma long enough, your gut will tell you if really nasty storms are coming
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This is a contaminated sounding, note the red bars shooting off to the right.
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The Day 4 discussion is really scary for Mississippi from the SPC, but this Model sounding over SE Mississippi justifies the worry from the SPC.
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