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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. The way you talk about it, you’d think it was 1/19/19.
  2. They did update the warning, wording still says 1-3” of snow and now “up to a quarter inch of ice.” I guess technically they’d be right if it’s 1.1” and 0.09” but that seems a little disingenuous.
  3. Agreed. Let’s just enjoy the 0.09” of ice and the 1.1” of snow the NWS says we’re getting (hey, that’s 0.2” more than climo for Feb 3-4!) and hopefully no one gets hurt or killed.
  4. Point being, 1-2 with up to a tenth of ice is definitively advisory stuff and we should anticipate a downgrade this evening.
  5. I’m confused. PBZ adjusted both snow and ice in Allegheny County downward?
  6. Suppose you got an inch of ice but the power stayed on. Take or toss?
  7. A “bust” from this system to me would be something like maybe 1-3” of snow and 0.1-0.3” of ice.
  8. Prior run had the airport looking at well over an inch. But point taken, relative “lack”. There is zr in the areas you mentioned.
  9. All of it falls at temps of 28 or lower and most of it falls at temps 25 or lower, which would help ratios.
  10. I would say it shifted a good bit south. The 12z run had basically no snow through daybreak Friday, this one has a warning level snow. And the lack of zr, while good, is a massive change.
  11. 18z HRRR is interesting. Basically goes straight from rain to sleet in Pittsburgh.
  12. Good thing the warning starts at 4am so people can panic about their morning commute in a 39 degree rain.
  13. Might be the first time I’ve yawned while reading a winter storm warning.
  14. If you have to be stuck somewhere, I’d suggest it be anywhere but work.
  15. In theory, an advisory gets issued for areas that even see as much as a drop of freezing rain, right?
  16. Thing is, the ensembles generally have moved back to a below normal temp look for much of the period, which I think is a good thing.
  17. Just for fun at this point, but this is an incredible GFS run. Snowstorm, Arctic outbreak, rinse and repeat. We have 27” piled up through hour 300, parts of SW Ohio are pushing 4 feet.
  18. 32 line seems to be advancing a little faster on the Canadian. Of course, that means we get pounded with ice.
  19. I wouldn’t trust the RAP at this range but it did go from 1.4” of snow on its previous extended run to pushing double digits on this one.
  20. 0.76” ice and 5.9” snow plus what looks like a couple inches of sleet.
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