TimB

But can you draw up a much better late afternoon in late summer than this? A fair amount of sun, a light breeze, falling dew points and temperatures just a hair below normal. Only thing that would make it better is if it were the weekend, and at least the first half of the weekend looks to be a carbon copy of what we have right now.

What an ugly day. So much cloud cover so far in August. I’m ready for the sunshine starting tomorrow. Have to remind myself it’s already cooler and less humid than it’s been the past several days, but looking out the window it doesn’t look any different.

I’m ready. Hope we’re not sacrificing fall to get this pattern in mid-August, but we’re in desperate need of some 70s/50s highs and lows.

It’d be a lot easier to say “something isn’t right” if it weren’t for that pesky 3 at HLG, where the elevation, latitude, and climo are remarkably similar to PIT’s. The location of AGC is a bit more firmly within the UHI area, which would conceivably lead to a few more 90 degree days in what has been an above normal temperature summer. My question (and maybe yours) isn’t whether or not PIT’s data is bad, but whether PIT is representative of the greater Pittsburgh area, and it very well may not be. But to change that now would render the past 70 years of data moot and not able to be compared to data going forward. And 1952-2022 is unfortunately a pretty critical part of the climate record.

Yep, hopefully this pattern doesn’t persist in a few months.

Winter storm warning in parts of northern Alaska. That’s gotta be rare in early August even for there.

Definitely very localized. AGC saw over an inch earlier and I’m pretty sure I’ve seen over an inch imby in the last couple hours, but PIT is still sitting at a T for the day.

Speak for yourself, lol.

Incredibly, PIT’s high today will be pretty close to the last two days.

Those storms are on PIT’s doorstep already. You might end up disappointed.

Pretty on par with yesterday temp-wise through noon, but yesterday didn’t have cloud cover and storms and still only hit 88. I think this is part of the system that dropped another half foot of rain on parts of Missouri overnight, so the chance of excessive rainfall is definitely there. WPC has us in a slight risk and there’s a flood watch out to our south and west where the ground is more saturated.

It’s all good, we’ll get to 90 today. There’s no way rain and storms will hold us back, right?

Let’s not lose sight of the fact that today is the last day with normals of 83/64, tomorrow it goes back to 83/63 and begins the slow descent toward winter.

Going to be the 2nd straight year where June got at least 3 degrees warmer than July.

If I had to guess, too many 5-min obs of 90 to have not gotten there at least once, but I guess we’ll see in an hour or so.

It was running even with or slightly ahead of AGC for most of the day, but AGC has since reached 91. Looks like the hourly obs at 2:51 was 89 so good chance we squeeze out another degree or two if we didn’t already at some point within the past hour.

PIT is going to somehow fall short of 90 again today, isn’t it?

Definitely an MCS that produced damage over a pretty significant distance. These are the SPC storm reports for yesterday, which I believe are mostly attributed to two separate MCS that tracked across different regions. I could see where that word would be used.

Looks like PIT got to 89 before that was brought to a screeching halt. You know what they say about wish in one hand, sh*t in the other.

Would say Sunday is pretty much a lock at this point. Tomorrow looks like a decent chance too.

Would guess tomorrow and Saturday would be a struggle to get there but Sunday really looks hot on some models if clouds and rain don’t prevent us from maximizing potential.

90 at PIT today seems dead in the water. Do we get there this weekend?

Seems we have a solid shot at 90 on Wednesday and maybe a chance somewhere around Friday or the weekend, but this pattern looks warm and humid and perhaps rainy at times, but not a massive heat wave.

At first I thought maybe the HRRR badly underestimated cloud cover on those runs where it got us to 91 but that doesn’t seem to have been the case. Didn’t dive into the details of how it got us to 91 when it had us under cloud cover all day. That said, 80 if we’re lucky.

GFS is advertising the mid/upper 90s heat for next weekend the last few runs. Then again, this weekend is going to be a bust compared to what was forecast/modeled as recently as midweek. Going to be a lot of disgruntled casuals if they didn’t check the weather for a couple days and assumed this weekend would be summery.