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TimB

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  1. TimB
    I closed my windows at 9:30 this morning when the temp outside exceeded the inside temp (64) - had them wide open last night and we got down to 49 outside. Was just upstairs a bit ago and it still felt fairly comfortable but didn’t think to look at the thermostat. I’ll report on it again when I’m off work at 4. Edit: 68 inside at 4pm. 82 outside.
  2. TimB
    The total precip over the 12z GFS run would squash any drought concerns in much of central PA.
  3. TimB
    But what percentage of the general public even knows what the AFD is? If you’re conveying a message through your forecast to the general public, who wants to go swimming/boating/ camping/outdoor dining at breweries/etc. this weekend, wouldn’t you want to throw a 20-30% into the zones? Edit: on second thought, what percentage of the general public uses the NWS as their primary source for weather information as opposed to, say, the weather app on their iPhone?
  4. TimB
    CTP also looks like they’re putting MDT in the 80s on Monday, which the latest models don’t support at all.
  5. TimB
    How does the Icon generally perform? I rarely if ever look at it.
  6. TimB
    Once again the GFS is winning in this pattern, the weekend heat already looks much more muted than what the Euro/CMC wanted.
  7. TimB
    Ah yes, it does paint a solid stripe of 1” down the I-81 corridor.
  8. TimB
    I assume you mean west. This map was reassuring for me, but sorry folks.
  9. TimB
    Careful, people seem to have trouble understanding that the reason we’re not fans of Tomlin is the three playoff wins in ten years and not some other reason.
  10. TimB
    Wait, Mason Rudolph isn’t a legit QB? /s
  11. TimB
    Not if the GFS has its way. Looks like it’s about to push another trough out of the Midwest through.
  12. TimB
    Back end of the GFS looks like it’s trying to build a massive western ridge, I assume that eventually translates east.
  13. TimB
    Verbatim, MDT tops out somewhere around 50 that day. Per our conversation yesterday, that high of 53 on 6/2/1907 is the lowest max on record on or after 5/28.
  14. TimB
    And yet there we are sitting at 45 next Friday afternoon...
  15. TimB
    The heat could help them win games against cold weather teams and bump their record up a notch or two from the 8-8-1 we’re expecting. (One of the few things both sides of this state can agree upon - picking on the Cowboys.)
  16. TimB
    That’s the thing here. We get nearly twice as much severe wind and tornadoes in both June and July as we do in May. Severe hail is the only thing where May is the 2nd highest month, and who really wants that?
  17. TimB
    And our cold. (Too soon?)
  18. TimB
    I think I would have too, but the worst thing we city folk have to worry about is brown grass and having to water plants a little more often.
  19. TimB
    Laura saved us. Otherwise could have been close to that.
  20. TimB
    GFS and Euro both suggest we could finish May at or above normal precip.
  21. TimB
    Of course it’s still out there, but the spine of the pandemic has been broken, especially in the US, thanks to a large number of people getting vaccinated. The vast majority of people getting covid in the US at this point are people getting covid by choice because they opted not to get vaccinated.
  22. TimB
    I should have specified *in the US*.
  23. TimB
    Yes.
  24. TimB
    Didn’t he start the mask debate yesterday by boasting about intimidating teenagers and women into not making him wear a mask? Don’t take the bait.
  25. TimB
    Assuming today ends up at about a -1 anomaly for temperature, it looks like we’ll need to average +7.9 the rest of the way to get the monthly average back to normal. Normals for May 18-31 average 74/53, so if we average 82/61 the rest of the way we’ll get there. Wouldn’t say it’s a guarantee but I think it’s far from impossible.
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