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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. TimB
    Well here’s hoping the heat is a greater source of misery than the play on the field tonight.
  2. TimB
    Sounds like a good enough argument to keep me on the fence. LOL.
  3. TimB
    We may not need a rotator cuff surgeon on the off chance that anyone stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
  4. TimB
    It was fantastic. Great weather, great time spent outdoors, definitely enjoyed the 4th. Sounds like you did much of the same out on this side of the state. Edit: oh, and lots of beer.
  5. TimB
    Paging Dr. James Andrews.
  6. TimB
    Pretty sure we can’t yet, they’re not vaccinated to a high enough percentage up there to feel comfortable letting Americans in. I heard July 21st but I wouldn’t be surprised if those goalposts move again.
  7. TimB
    Hopefully we can cut a few degrees off these dewpoints this afternoon, but I’d be surprised if I go outside before 8pm either way.
  8. TimB
    This is unfortunately a statistic that the AGW deniers would use their standard “but UHI” argument on, and ignore the fact that these 3 day streaks of lows in the 70s are 10 times as common as they used to be and that Boise is a relatively small city where UHI wouldn’t be nearly as pronounced as, say, PHX or MSP. One other fact that should be included: I’m not familiar with Boise, nor have I ever been within 250 miles of it, but it would appear from looking at a map that the airport sits literally right at the edge of the developed area, so that would also mitigate UHI to some extent.
  9. TimB
    Good lord. I see each of the past 5 years and 6 of the last 7 on that list. Edited to add: streaks of 3 or longer have occurred 34 times in Boise’s history according to the complete list. 21 of those 34 have occurred in the past 20 years. 13 of those 34 occurred in the previous 125 years on record. In layman’s terms, something that used to happen once a decade is now happening once a year.
  10. TimB
    The interesting part of that is this: South Dakota is the only state that could be considered the Midwest by any metric that has recorded its state record high this century. It is also, per that map in the previous post, the state that has the greatest proportion of area where the average summer temperatures have gone down over the past 50 years.
  11. TimB
    I like how that little bit of wildfire smoke and 4th of July remnants have caused every observation at KPIT today to be “overcast.” Wonder if that’s also what kept us short of 90 (which is a good thing if you ask me).
  12. TimB
    I would assume you’d probably get a lot more excited than I would if the models were showing upper 90s to near 100. But I do understand the intrigue, it’s been a long time since it’s happened. (But only half as long as 1936-1988.)
  13. TimB
    I don’t disagree with you on that. If the forecast calls for 98-99, I’ll be rooting for 100 too.
  14. TimB
    That’s MDT’s all timer.
  15. TimB
    The funny thing is I remember several conversations in the western PA thread about how PBZ’s forecast discussions are often lacking in comparison to CTP and others. I’m surprised they threw a “joke” in there, no matter how cheesy.
  16. TimB
    PBZ went there.
  17. TimB
    Perfection if you ask me. I know you want your 100 degree day, but if we have to concede that to you, I hope it’s on a Wednesday or something and not a holiday weekend.
  18. TimB
    We’re up in Warren County visiting the wife’s family this weekend (Route 6 corridor, @Mount Joy Snowmanwill appreciate that). Simply fantastic weather, a brief rain shower this morning and an absolutely beautiful afternoon. Also CTP forecast area, so isn’t this technically my home thread right now?
  19. TimB
    12z GFS looked a little warmer, though ridging never seems to win decisively with any longevity. Remnants of Elsa could still be a factor, and it looks like Florida will be spared a direct hit from anything of hurricane strength. The highlight, though, is the CMC’s depiction of next weekend. Saturday looks wet but Sunday looks incredible. GFS isn’t as great, gives me a fantastic Sunday but I’m not so sure the front clears out there in time. Today, on the other hand, to quote @Itstrainingtimeyet again, “Every day like this is one potential hot, miserable day that won't happen. ”
  20. TimB
    Yes, warminista that he is. LOL. Actually best I can tell he’s a seasons in seasons guy. But model watching is quite fun for me at most times of the year. I know a ton of people only watch the models in winter but I’m not one of them. My busy season at work runs from about mid-July through October so the time for me to stop flooding the airwaves is upon us.
  21. TimB
    I’m running a much closer 2nd in my own.
  22. TimB
    I see I’m an extremely distant second.
  23. TimB
    83 I believe. So we’re talking about 10 degrees below average, but if you consider the number of days that are 10 above average, it’s still pretty crazy.
  24. TimB
    I would imagine actually occurring in that region in July would be extremely rare. Being shown on the GFS, maybe not quite as rare.
  25. TimB
    18z has not one but two snow producing systems in northeastern Canada.
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