TimB

That 3:45 storm meant business. Never lost power here but there were quite a few lightning strikes very close to my house and near constant lightning for awhile. My dog is normally unfazed by thunderstorms but this one had him nervous. All in all, one of the better overnight thunderstorms in recent memory.

Science-adjacent, at the very least.

Man, after a slow start there sure have been a lot of severe risk days both there and out my way.

Looks like the SPC slight risk extends west into Perry/ Snyder/ Cumberland/ Juniata counties, but I would imagine torrential rain is more likely than severe wind. Discussion from the SPC says 60% chance of watch issuance for S/E half of PA.

Probably not tornadic with this setup but possibly severe. Flooding isn’t SPC’s domain.

Ironic given that he likes snow. I suppose if you’re a Euro apologist you’re always pleasantly surprised when it does snow.

No matter what happens with the GFS, we’ll be able to see August on it by the end of the week!

I’ll take that over anything the GooFuS wants to show us.

It hasn’t even shown up on back to back runs yet, let alone within 10 days.

Looks like it might go zonal before it gets too, too brutal.

Took a brief look. Oh God, the 100inistas get more digital fantasyland excitement.

Work has gotten in the way of me watching it like a hawk. I’ll have to wait until later and look at all the 12z models at once.

The SFA robbery was actually in 2016. UW went on to lose to that Notre Dame team in the Sweet 16. But I agree that a game against UW would have been winnable for SFA. Seems we all have our reasons for hating Notre Dame.

As a Wisconsin alum, 2015 still hurts. Probably the only real shot I had of seeing a national title, but the four year players got run over by a bunch of one and done kids from Duke. Hope the Suns win so Frank Kaminsky can get a ring, even if not as a Badger.

Exactly, there is much, much more parity in college basketball than there is in international basketball.

Also brings to mind the time a 16th seeded UMBC squad won by 20 against a top overall seed, can’t remember who.

I happened to see it at some point. Reminds me of the 2004 loss to Puerto Rico in the Olympics.

The Swanson School of Engineering Pitt Campus team would probably give the actual Pitt basketball team all they could handle these days.

That’s what I’m thinking. Why should we care that it was hot at MDT in June if it was hotter in 1943?

Meh, top 3 months happen at least once a year these days, it’s nothing noteworthy. /s

Also newspapers being obsolete and stuff. And the elephant in the room, the thing that dominated the news cycle for several years before covid and still kind of does.

And at the end of the day, we’re experiencing a relatively typical (by 21st century standards) summer. Does it really have any effect on me or anyone I know, other than the handful of friends and relatives I have in Portland (all are alive and well), that they broke an all time record high by 9 degrees? Does it have an effect on me that Death Valley just recorded the highest reliably measured temperature on earth and the warmest low ever observed in the US this past weekend? What personally changed in my life when I heard that massive numbers of people in Michigan died of covid while I was sitting on my couch? But just because it doesn’t affect me doesn’t mean it doesn’t matter to me. Many people don’t care about a thing in the world unless it affects them. But to your point, we only know about a lot of this stuff because we take the time to read about it. Some people don’t.

I think Pillow and Paw Paw might have both been experiencing warned storms at the same time yesterday.

Definitely not Palouse/Pacific Northwest in general levels. Usually the ridge sits in a location where the Dakotas get the brunt of the heat, but their state records are 120 and 121 and very difficult to break. In some runs, the ridge axis sits slightly farther east where the MN record of 115 could be threatened somewhere in the western part of the state, and even a few where MSP’s all timer of 108 could be threatened. But that’s the thing, that region has also had a bout with extreme heat this summer, but it was in early June so it wasn’t all time records being threatened. Seems like the pattern this summer is for the extreme, all time record heat to just bounce back and forth between the southwest, Pacific Northwest, and north central states and largely skip the rest of the country. Not so coincidentally, these are the areas most affected by drought.

I saw that. The GFS has been very consistent that the north central US and adjacent portions of Canada get extremely hot (approaching all time record levels in some instances), but most runs don’t translate that ridge east. At least not anything beyond garden variety heat.