TimB

I feel fairly safe in believing next week will be warmer than this week. The question is, by how much?

This GFS run didn’t show it as much, but the previous couple runs hinted at back to the same old pattern we had in October.

This pattern looks dry as all get out. Wouldn’t be surprised if we don’t see a drop/flake of anything this week. Some wasted BN days.

King CMC suggests some spots get into the teens later this week. I’ll believe it when I see it.

PIT had a -1 and a -3 in there and a few days that rounded to 0.

Thing is Tomlin has a 39 year old out of shape QB and no offensive line to work with. That said, the fake FG call was one of the worst coaching decisions I’ve ever seen made, regardless of whether or not the hit on Boswell was dirty. Tomlin coaches conservatively all season long until we get a 4th and 9 in chip shot field goal range and calls a fake that fails miserably. I will say this: if Tomlin somehow gets this team to the playoffs and wins even one game while he’s there, he should be coach of the year hands down.

Looks like we’ll clinch the warmest October since 1949 and 2nd warmest all time if you exclude all the pre-KPIT clutter. (8th if you include it)

Won’t post the fantasy land 6z GFS clown map because it’s fantasy land and I don’t get a flake out of it, but I’m sure one of you will.

CMC really dumps some polar air into the central US at the end of its run.

Yes, and it’s the record winter for Pittsburgh overall.

It’s looking very possible that our low of 37 the other day could be our only low in the 30s as we enter November. There have been 9 times in recorded history that the temperature hasn’t gotten to 36 or lower by the end of October, and only two at KPIT. Latest first 36 is 11/9/1902. The latest in the KPIT era? 11/5/1950. Let’s hope this winter is at least a little like that one.

But could the warmer start to the week make a difference when it comes to that all time October record?

Same cell I assume?

It sticks in my mind that the record Oct at MDT is a +6.5 departure relative to the current normals. So if month to date is +7.5, it would take a +4.5 or so the rest of the way to “achieve” such ignominy. The warm nights could make it close.

Would not be surprised at all to see a confirmed tornado in Hampton. Way too close.

They keep saying it’ll dissipate after sunset but the tornado warnings have entered PA. Edit: oh, the first line. That’s questionable.

Pillow never ceases to amaze me.

Meh, CMC looks like a bunch of ups and downs. An ugly day here and there.

Probably add on a little bit for Pillow, the rain, heat, and cold capital of PA.

The models really, really backed off on the northward extent of the heat next week. And it’s not just the GFS, the Euro did too, albeit to a lesser extent.

Sometimes this hobby causes us to think about things we shouldn’t. Like possible unseasonable warmth I won’t even have to contend with because I won’t be home (and will in fact be in an even warmer, more humid locale). Not even sure it’s rational that it bothers me.

Yep, just went and looked. I see a 77 in there for me on the GFS and a 75 on the EC, but should I really complain if I won’t be here on those days?

Looks like the official low will be 37, so we’re safe from that record.

@Bubbler86, my weather app shows warmer for days 6-10 than it did yesterday. Haven’t looked at the overnight models yet, but I assume I can safely say they’re bad?

EC paints a much better picture for the cooler period next week.