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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. I mean yes, the MA does well with that run but it would bring at least advisory level snowfall to a large swath of PA if you extrapolate it verbatim.
  2. The stat I saw was that the 6.7” at DCA is more than they had the last two winters combined.
  3. A disturbance so weak that it doesn’t even have a red L on the map.
  4. NAM looks weak as hell at range, unless I’m missing something.
  5. Looks like they officially reported 6.7” as of 1pm.
  6. There’s more to the story than simply “getting banned for posting a Euro map”, so I was being facetious.
  7. I know of someone who got banned for posting a Euro map once, if that means anything.
  8. So an advisory level event? Not at all. SLRs would be high so wouldn’t even take a ton of QPF.
  9. I’m now rooting for the GFS. I can live with today’s result, but it would be a tough pill to swallow if the Mid Atlantic got two storms this week and I got nothing.
  10. ^ I’ll go on the record and say that I think that’s impossible.
  11. As a wx fan, it is intriguing to see the way this system evolved from basically nothing in that area in such a short time. I’m with you on that one. Also, you’re right, we had a winter last year while many of them didn’t.
  12. It happens, when the possibility of losing to DCA in season total snowfall, however remote that may be, starts creeping into one’s mind.
  13. Significant southward shift from 0z, that would be another win for the Mid-Atlantic.
  14. Here is the GFS from as recently as 6z Saturday for today’s Mid-Atlantic storm: There’s still time, there’s still hope.
  15. Every 5 min obs at DCA since 9:14 has been heavy snow. Looks like about 3/4” of liquid equivalent since changeover there.
  16. That has been my inclination, but wanted to confirm that it isn’t just my own already well-documented pessimism.
  17. How concerned should we be that the GFS hasn’t picked up on anything with the Thurs/Fri storm less than 4 days from onset?
  18. Yes, gone way too soon. And yes, I know who Karen Carpenter is despite having zero overlap of our time on this earth.
  19. It’s all fun and games until DCA’s season-to-date total is double digits ahead of some of us with better climo. LOL
  20. Need a good second storm if the first one looks anything like that for DCA. I don’t know if I can handle being behind DCA’s season total snowfall for any appreciable amount of time.
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