SnowenOutThere

If this storm does give an area wide 6-10 inches of snow like the NAM model overnight the news will be in some deep mistrust because it is a day before the event and they were forecasting nothing. Would be a little funny seeing everyone wake up on Sunday with heavy snow falling and 5 inches on the ground thinking they were getting nothing.

Yay! The12z Nam is a crowd pleaser with a wide swath of 5-8 for the whole form.

If this event does end up giving us 5-10 inches of snow I would be very concerned. I love snow I want this to happen but there is a good risk of area wide power outages because the snowfall rates will be super high and the snow super wet and thus heavy. This would lead to heavy wet snow falling heavily overnight onto trees that have just recovered from the snow earlier in the week. So if we connect the dots this would mean wide scale power outages which is concerning and something I have not seen discussed. That said I want a foot plus overnight with super heavy rates and big flakes.

Looking at the NAM models and if they come true do you think with the 3 inches of snow per hour rates there could be some thundersnow overnight?

It looks like the Euro brings in colder air after the storm which would make the snow stick longer and is just an interesting feature of the storm that no one is really talking about.

This is every storm in our area.

There was another one where a storm was underforcasted and dropped 2'' of snow and it was in the 20s during rush hour. Because everyone was focused on the 2016 blizzard in two days no one knew about this one and it caused huge traffic jams.

Guys the Euro is on board

Checks out

At least the storm is overnight so there should not be sun problems.

Yay NAM since it is good for us we got to accept the NAM but the second it is bad we say how bad it is. Seriously though the new NAM one is great lets get the Euro on board.

Yoinked this from the southeast thread but it seems to make sense and thought you people would like to see it. I've seen him post about this a few times, but Anthony M has this theory / observation about storm evolution during retrograding -NAO blocks....the first few storms track north (across New England) and feed into the developing block, then the next one or two storms are suppressed events when the block is retrograding (best potential across the South), with the finale being a traditional Mid-Atlantic to New England nor' easter as the block lifts out. The previous retrograding block episode that we just had went down that way. There was a storm across New England on Jan 26...then the Raleigh thundersnow storm on Jan 28, then the traditional nor'easter on Feb 1

I think the GFS trended slightly closer to phasing

Overnight we got another coating on the sidewalks and untreated roads with light snow still happening.

Its been 72 hours.

Oh thanks for clearing up the confusion.

Could anyone post the 18z Euro model? It would be appreciated.

Yeah I agree with you put the seems legit because this is one of accuweather's forecast that makes sense.

That wishful thinking but I agree

Seems legit

Hey guys don't look at the snow or precipitation maps until at least Thursday because it is just not worth it. Just look at the low and precip maps and the trends.

I would describe this storm as it busted then it just kept snowing.

Alright so from looking at the models and scrolling through here we should have a mix to rain storm on Thursday leading to an artic outbreak over us. After this there is potential for a storm on Sunday but only the Euro is on board. Then after that another shot of artic air consumes us. The pattern then after the iffy storm looks really good and the models have multiple storm chances with cold air. Then the general pattern for the next 1/2 month or more is very good for snowstorms. I this right or am I off?

I feel like a lot of the new snow might start melting now that the sun is out which is a little sad.

Winter Wonderland out there