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CHItoMKE916

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Everything posted by CHItoMKE916

  1. CHItoMKE916
    Sampling of the Baja low not included in the NAM (doesn't matter cuz it sucks anyways) but good for other models. So that won't explain any changes seen down there. Looks like some sondes made the NAM after all https://x.com/i/status/2014131199120162993
  2. CHItoMKE916
    End result on the EPS looks similar, so wouldn't look too much into that
  3. CHItoMKE916
    When the measly ICON is northwest, bombs away
  4. CHItoMKE916
    Sounds like the Baja Low will be sampled for tonight's 0z runs, so we should have that answer then.
  5. CHItoMKE916
    At 15-1 to 20-1 ratios, I think Chicago gets 20in+ with that run. Certified big dog potential. Everyone's eyes peeled to the Euro soon.
  6. CHItoMKE916
    Um guys. The latest UKIE... Hard to ignore that. 500mb is just crazy. (Ninja'd cuz didn't even see the random lake effect this model loves to always wrongly include)
  7. CHItoMKE916
    I say we give this the ol no hitter treatment for now.
  8. CHItoMKE916
    Recon missions with better sampling too will be super meaningful. Regardless of outcome here, very interesting set-up. The South will get demolished regardless.
  9. CHItoMKE916
    Soooo. We realistically are still too north for the weekend system right? Kinda seems like a northern feature has sped up and is now phasing with the ejected cutoff and pumping up the SE ridge enough to just about get precipitation up this way? Would love an expert's opinion here lol
  10. CHItoMKE916
    Comparing the GFS to all other models for this upcoming storm might be the worst gap I've ever seen. We really need to retire it and invest more into our modeling here ... Oof. Unless it wins a coup and is correct but doubt it.
  11. CHItoMKE916
    As much as I somehow want the weekend storm to trend positively up this way, I'd rather BAM be wrong. I guess we'll see.
  12. CHItoMKE916
    Shame it's forecasted to be cloudy and dangerously cold since there's a great northern lights opportunity tonight.
  13. CHItoMKE916
    Yeah. It's the 2nd worst verification score for medium range models I think. Definitely not believing it's output this model run, but I guess it does show probably the best outcome up here because I doubt anything can overcome high pressure as strong as what's progged.
  14. CHItoMKE916
    Verbatim, if something like the latest Canadian happens, wouldn't the thermodynamics for lake effect be nuclear given the Arctic air mass? Doubt that happens though but the timing of the cold air could allow for that.
  15. CHItoMKE916
    For those that know, the Ragu programmatic ad at the bottom of Pivotalweather will be the death of me.
  16. CHItoMKE916
    Wednesday/Thursday clipper uptrend. Or do we not care cuz it's not a big dog?
  17. CHItoMKE916
    "the week before Groundhogs day IV storm" thread. Too soon for it though. That would be a ton of ice given the cold air mass prior.
  18. CHItoMKE916
    Definitely not zzzzz. Next week looks interesting for sure. High potential. (Peaks at latest gfs model lol is that a triple phaser?)
  19. CHItoMKE916
    Now if we can get another arctic impulse to perfectly hit at let's say Sunday at 7pm that would be great.
  20. CHItoMKE916
    Much like the November event, mostly graupel snow by me
  21. CHItoMKE916
    Definitely some snow opportunities coming up. Clippers and/or lake effect. Beats CAD any day
  22. CHItoMKE916
    FTP
  23. CHItoMKE916
    At least we'll get one or two UKIE runs that shows 36 inches into Chicago when in the end we just get lake mood flakes
  24. CHItoMKE916
    Welcome to thread the needle season (not expecting any snow still)
  25. CHItoMKE916
    Getting close to having a decent snow plus lake ehancement in NIL this weekend.
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