Chicago916

Haha I wasn't even complaining but just giving my take. I know climo, but this season in its entirety for me was eh. Not the most enjoyable despite a couple events. I think the lack of even modeled storms ruined the season too for me because that at least gives hope and opportunity. Too many mid/long range storms went poof and never came back vs. allowing for longer tracking of trends that actually became reality.

Not understanding the copium about this winter. It sucked. Quantitatively sure it will still be near average. But taking it all in this Winter was terrible from a snow enthusiast perspective. Most snow came early, frequent CAD, and not many opportunities for meaningful storms. Cherry on top too was the South getting impactful snow again and the Northeast getting hit hard late season. Seasonal and long range forecasts all indicate some warm air moving in and after that sure there's opportunities for cool weather, but too little too late and that opportunity will likely disappear at shorter range. C- winter.

I thought this is an every year thing when it's late season? Like a modeled SSW that leads to the polar vortex shrinking and going poof because of the season.

In true GFS fashion, it's ensembles improved lol I still think this is a turd storm though.

*2028 with el nino next winter

Knowing our luck GFS will be dead wrong on the next week storm so we'll get nada

Seems like the GFS was the best at medium lead time for this Noreaster? Seems like it's caught on more often than EURO on those storms lately.

Feel like that one gives off 0 or 6" of heavy wet snow vibes.

While the NE gets lucky again (they do deserve it after some shit years in the snow department) next week still looks somewhat interesting for us. Gotta wait until the Northeast storm bombs out before we get a clue though.

The high was supposed to be mid 40s here, but approaching 60F instead?

Very OT, but in Costa Rica right now and there was much talk about the recent Arctic front going through here in some capacity. Temperatures below 70F for highs so locals were "freezing". Interesting additional context to the arctic cold far reaching just our part of the continent.

Weird to be getting missed by LE to the west lol

Idk.. to me too much hopium. But I'm obviously rooting for the higher end outcome.

Snow only lasted 30 minutes here lol the WSW was upgraded for that? Maybe should've been a Snow Squall Warning instead?

Already snowing here yet reflectivity not impressive

3km NAM is useless here and barely paints any QPF anywhere, even in NW Indiana which is now under a WSW. HRRR isn't worth looking at either at extended range. I wish trends were good though

What trends? Not seeing anything positive for the IL side tbh

Ironically I was in Whistler the end of December and they actually had snow the week I was there and enough of it with high winds to cause problems. Still better off than having no snow.

Good luck to Nadocast in coding all of that in

Welp the lake effect is no longer in the room with us. Barely any modeled anymore.

We're all owed at least one run with a peak of 30in somewhere despite not being possible.

Pretty sure there's ice there now since the ice shelf has expanded with the cold. Time 2 get skiing or snowshoeing? Jeb walk on the ice shelf incoming

If the RRFS model run verifies, we riot

Sorry for opening this debate can of worms lmao. Just curious. I miss the days of huge cutters (either favorable tracks for the Great lakes or cutting west and giving us some warmth). Feels like there's a severe lack of storms from colorado to the Mississippi River lately.