Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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Wouldn't worry about 18z op runs this far out. .
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Not much of a shift, just a hair really - it is just a more consolidated precip "shield" essentially, cutting off the western extent. Normal waffling at this point .
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Canadian with a hurricane off the Carolinas basically lol. .
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Wow, huge shift .
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My fiancé is going to be sick of me checking on this 50 times a day for another week straight if this really gains some traction. .
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10.6 in Central Park over an hour ago... If it can keep sleeting 4 more hours could maybe eek out a foot .
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5 hours later but that snowssleet line looks to be crashing back to Manhattan - would be fun to squeeze out 2-3 inches with that instead of .5 of sleet! .
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He's ridiculous. The sleet line on the NAM was progged 75 miles north of this. He's being coy. Yes it was first to indicate a warm nose. Kudos. But its actually depiction was way over done and it didn't backdown on being overdone. .
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Stop. .
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Snowflakes mixing back in Jersey City. .
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That's their official 1 PM reading. Insane lol that's barely 10-1 ratios through 1 PM. It was like Aspen with ratios when the storm started for a few hours. .
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Snow picking back up in downtown Jersey City .
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Same here. .
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Some models still showing the sleet line retreating and giving a few hours of snow later back in NYC. .
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I'm south of them by a few miles. No pingers. .
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I'm in JC parallel to south Manhattan right across the water (looking at it from my window) no pingers. .
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Great for snow totals if true .
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It's been sleet the whole time according to that guy. .
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All snow in JC parallel to FiDi - you have time. .
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Not useful talking about what it shows today. During its useful forecasting window which would have been late Friday and through yesterday - it was showing a turnover in the city at 11 am and 5.5 inches of snow. It overdid the warmth and underdid the thump. .
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5 inches for Manhattan total including sleet lol .
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NAM said nyc would be sleet an hour ago. .
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There was verified very high ratios early on so .73 even with it toning back the ratios now would be much more than 8 inches. So that seems a little aggressive on qpf .
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Ukie precip hole failed. .
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Gotta be specific imo with I-95 and the orientation of the snow sleet line. The sleet line is approaching from the southwest not west to east .
