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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. Jt17
    lol people see what they want to see .
  2. Jt17
    Rosy retrospection .
  3. Jt17
    Looks more like most guidance than NAM does .
  4. Jt17
    lol wow .
  5. Jt17
    Nah. NAM is overdoing the sleet the last 2 runs. FYI it's basically the same as last run not worse contrary to the comments I'm seeing. .
  6. Jt17
    A little better result, tho I don't know how it evolved since it's an off hour... .
  7. Jt17
    Euro AI refuses to change .
  8. Jt17
    Ukie is so sure there is a dry slot over nyc 3 runs in a row. .
  9. Jt17
    18z is a waste of time imo. 12z and 0z usually tell the picture. I liked 12z today - hopefully 0z is less all over the place .
  10. Jt17
    I could be wrong but pretty sure they share a lot of the same physics .
  11. Jt17
    EPS looks a lot snowier than Euro OP, somebody correct me if I'm wrong... .
  12. Jt17
    Nice, I told my colleagues 10-15 with the lower end being with earlier sleet and higher end being with later sleet. Now they're gonna think I'm a wizard when they get their winter storm warning alert. .
  13. Jt17
    Looking very similar to NAM .
  14. Jt17
    It's a big improvement .
  15. Jt17
    lol .6 for nyc and 1.1-1.3 all around.. ok .
  16. Jt17
    The 9.6 inches was until 7 PM *Sunday* from Upton, while Mt. Holly showed around 15 inches to 7 AM *Monday*. Upton later posted a similar map with around 15 out to 7 AM Monday. 12-18 has been the theme from most forecasts. Thus far they aren't buying the sleet being as big of a problem plain and simple. Could change it course .
  17. Jt17
    Yes and gently trending towards a colder solution like GFS... .
  18. Jt17
    No it's not warlock. It's 10-15 .
  19. Jt17
    Mount Holly's forecast goes out 12 more hours 7 AM Monday - Upton ends at 7 PM Sunday Main reason for the diff. They actually align. .
  20. Jt17
    They like the GFS .
  21. Jt17
    Insanely quick compared to everything else? .
  22. Jt17
    How does it not agree? Similar QPF and looks cold enough for all snow from what I can tell. .
  23. Jt17
    12z NAM and RGEM look further south with the sleet than 6z fwiw comparing f78 to f84 .
  24. Jt17
    More gfs like .
  25. Jt17
    Looks colder and snowier to me than the OP. .
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