Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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That's a sound strategy 5 days and more, but I think starting now it's pretty fun to follow along intently. Although, if you care about your loved ones it's probably not the healthiest way to go about it.
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Ah feels like the old days in here. Joy, disappointment, anxiety. Hanging on to every model run. Love it.
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0z: 18z: forget the precip field depiction for now - the new run is 2 mb deeper and a very small amount east, it's pretty negligible changes which is normal 3.5-4 days out from a storm.
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It ends up being fairly similar to the previous run, perhaps 15-20 miles east, nothing alarming, but didn't cave to the Euro as of yet.
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except the NAM which was slow and tucked
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Yea it is out, but on the other hand it's slightly west of the previous run, thus a trend towards the euro not the gfs like you had said, so you're still just trying to get a rise out of people.
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Yea, Icon its deeper and more west than previous run, decent trend on a fairly useless model lol
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I think this is actually a decent bit west from it's previous run? I can't tell on tropical tidbits yet.
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Number 1 seller around these parts
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Starts early Sat on here would prob end Sunday morning
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Yea but 90% of Rjay's messages are informative with a hint of weenie. Which is my preferred message type.
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yowza
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These write ups are awesome
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Would love to see the GFS be a little more amped and a little more tucked next run, but superstitiously I hope it doesn't look too good. Lol
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NYC metro area is 20+mil people on it's own lol
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I feel like a drug addict asking, but... anybody got the EPS? *scratches neck, avoids eye contact
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Slightly west and 4mb deeper than 90 last time. I think it's just the surface depiction doesn't look as intense, but obviously not something to worry about, especially on an 18z run
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Hmmm I don't think so man. I think the fact that you can't see the rest of the run is skewing your perspective
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Rolling
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It's WAY west than 0z, no? - everybody got so fixated on the bad gfs runs that they didn't realize this went from amazing for nyc area to terrible, now it's only another 75-100 mile shift from an epic solution.
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Nice trend back
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06z GEFS had a decent western cohert developing again compared to 00z, even though the op was a mess. A lot of time for changes in any direction.
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This is just the ensemble mean too. Op would be way more like 00z
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At hr 117 Icon doesn't look too different than the last run and then it jumps like 400 miles due east, only to come back later, looks fishy (pun slightly intended)
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And with 18z there isn't that much to even examine. Really the only sort of dramatic shifts were the GFS, Euro largely the same, some lesser models like Icon for example trended west, etc. really not much has happened today lol, just 1000s of anxiety filled messages across a few subforums.
