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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. Jt17
    Looks like 20+ hours of snow
  2. Jt17
    Lol at gfs next weekend
  3. Jt17
    One way too look at it, but also every model has a LP system pop off the coast next weekend with the Canadian having it in the nicest position before heading out to see. With the NW trends we keep seeing it's probably best it's showing up, but heading out for sea on every model right now lol
  4. Jt17
    Next weekend?
  5. Jt17
  6. Jt17
    GFS op just moved quite a bit east from what I can tell on my phone. Actually has the low off the coast of Jersey now.
  7. Jt17
    wow? 00z gfs ensembles take even better track than 18z
  8. Jt17
    Is there any rhyme or reason why the seemingly weaker low pressure tugs the more intense low pressure west on the GFS the last few runs into PA. Seems like the last GFS ensemble was hinting that it was an exaggerated scenario...?
  9. Jt17
    It's actually kind of refreshing to have some unbridled joy for a change
  10. Jt17
    Definitely looks like the GFS and the GEFS trended towards a better solution for snow. GEFS says that crazy hard phase that brought the low into PA was way exaggerated, hopefully it's onto something!
  11. Jt17
    At 102 to 105 the low just dives hard inland, it looked more promising up until then though.
  12. Jt17
    The 850 freezing line was pretty far from the area which is why I said that, but thanks for the heads up. I don't want to be badly mistaken again. Gee no wonder these forums are so dead compared to the old days.
  13. Jt17
    To my untrained eye this looks like the euro ensemble is taking a similar track to what it had at 00z? And based on the 850 temps at this frame it would actually be snowing at hour 120. Perhaps there's some hope the OP models have completed their west trend and might wiggle back east a bit. Still too early to give up on that possibility IMO.
  14. Jt17
    GFS, GEM and Euro all have a deep low pressure system off the coast on Monday with the GFS crushing the area, the GEM not too far off and the Euro heading out to sea. Something fun to keep an eye on at least...
  15. Jt17
    GEM has a similarly intense bomb for the 17th, but a couple 100 miles further off the coast than the GFS run. Let's hope a similarly intense storm is still showing up on the models around Thursday. Would be exciting to track a real ol' fashion nor'easter
  16. Jt17
    GFS showing a powerful coastal bomb for 1/17...
  17. Jt17
    Pretty sure eduggs is right. LGA broke the record I believe for snow ratios in a storm of a certain size with like 25/1 ratios with them getting over 9" of snow, but only .4"ish liquid. Wouldn't make sense for JFK a few miles away to be the polar opposite situation. (I live about a mile from LGA so I can report that there was a shocking amount of snow compared to the 3-5 inch forecast, which would have usually lined up better with the liquid precip)
  18. Jt17
    Is it poor form these days for peeps to post visuals of storms that are only 4/5 days out now? Not asking for clown maps, just a little more in here to see when I check in would be fun/informative.
  19. Jt17
    An official nws obs at 7:00am at LGA for 8.4 inches while it was still snowing pretty good... is quite the over performance no matter how you cut it. 3-5 inch was the overwhelming prediction on just about every outlet. Seems like while we had a pretty strong consensus of .4-.5 liquid equivalent precipitation, but everybody has been burned too much by estimating ratios in the past, even if this storm screamed higher ratio snows. If they had gone with higher ratio snow idea we prob would have been in a WSW instead of a ww advisory for NYC and it would have been appropriate, because nearly 9 inches in a 7 hour period of snow is not advisory level stuff.
  20. Jt17
    Bing Bong
  21. Jt17
    Nah, I've been scanning weather forums for decades. This is odd.
  22. Jt17
    Just wondering how the euro could look like THAT 3.5 days before the possible event and this forum can be so dead?
  23. Jt17
    Certainly seems to have trended that way.
  24. Jt17
    This has to be the slowest this forum has been less than 2 days before what's looking like an 8-12 inch mostly snow event for the entire sub-forum lol!
  25. Jt17
    Nothing will beat 1996 for me. The storm was so intense I honestly think it was hard to get spotters to even do snow measurements. It's hard to explain how intense that storm was... The drifts were ridiculous too!
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