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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. That's a pretty weird .3-.4 missing qpf blob for NYC too lol nice weird run .
  2. Bro the gfs just had the rain snow line down in Richmond Virginia. Chill .
  3. This is about 300 miles north of the other guidance, I wouldn't put too much stock in that run other than that things have trended north across the board .
  4. GFS and GFS AI went from nothing this morning to basically .8 area wide in 3 model runs. It is trending pretty rapidly! .
  5. .5 to .8 inch for nyc qpf pretty nice indeed! .
  6. It's going to be 15-20 degrees colder than pretty much any snow event we've had this year. It's worth contemplating. .
  7. Oops yea meant 18z, but same applies to 6z lol .
  8. Friendly reminder 6z is usually full of shenanigans, let's keep the overreactions either way in check! .
  9. He said he would if the gfs didn't improve the next run and it did massively lol. .
  10. Let me introduce you to a concept called rosy retrospection. .
  11. Doesn't need to trend (which of course it could) with most modeling shows 10-15 inches of high ratio snow. Besides the OP GFS you must absolutely hug to keep your schtick up. .
  12. Every single cent of this storm would stick and pile up even in Manhattan. A rarity .
  13. If there was ever a time to consider Kuchera it's with a storm like this. Gives the area almost a foot. .
  14. Oddly enough didn't do so hot, but good model suite so far otherwise! .
  15. Surprised it took so long for somebody mention it lol decent shift! .
  16. There are no trends yet - the gfs went way north the gfs ai went way south. Other most recent model runs blast the area. .
  17. Yea agreed, this is why I asked. Just looks like the OPs .
  18. Does the blend of models include AI models too? .
  19. With ratios the entire 95 corridor gets 50+ inches lol .
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