Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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lol it's an improvement over itself, but it's way off the rest of the suite so far .
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CMC was a complete whiff this morning - gonna be easy to show an improvement. .
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Pretty sure this was written before every model caved to it. .
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You can scroll back and discover how inaccurate your statement is if you'd like. Or just write whatever you want. You do you! .
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It's further NW. output doesn't mean much. That was an improvement .
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Deep breaths .
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Weathergeek - how do we feel about euro AI your favorite looking terrible still, while every other model improved? Wondering how you are handling this emotionally. .
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If a 970 low just outside the benchmark doesn't make you feel something, you may need to see a doctor. .
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Most people live in a 20 mile radius of nyc that is just population statistics and I'm sure this New York thread is the same. That being said. If the storm gains 30-40 miles latitude before getting pushed east it's 15+ for the city too .
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The NAM at 84 hours isn't something useful. First long range model run was 18z icon and it was much improved. Was able to gain more latitude, but started a hair too late. 2 inches into the city and still snowing at end of run. Was a complete whiff earlier. .
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The GFS and Canadian are closer to 12z yesterday than they are to the Euro now last night they were basically complete misses by 0z. Ukie almost got there too but couldn't turn the corner enough. .
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Erm, I can't see 6z but 12z is basically the same as 0z .
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He was talking about euro AI to be fair which is much better than euro. But def not tucked lol .
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Was also 100s of miles west of 0z last night. Just couldn't quite turn the corner. .
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50 mile jog further west and and cmc would be a HECs .
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6 inches into the city on this run. .
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Gfs just moved back towards the coast and north a couple 100 miles since last night. Wouldn't take much more. .
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Looks better at 114. Also, it is similar to 18z. 18z and 0z are way better than 6z GEFS back when GFS OP had a great storm. So take that fwiw. .
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It's 4.5 days out tbf but also still it's wild to be cliff jumping over weather. .
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The Euro Ai is a wobble away from where it was earlier. Tons of potential with this system, some beautiful classic off hour model quite meltdowns happening. Somethings never change. .
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Still not seeing 18z how did it compare to 12z .
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Stronger and slightly more snow into nyc this run .
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The Euro and Euro AI aren't very really related from my understanding, which explains why their solutions are vastly different very often. And unless 6z was noticeably better than 12z for Euro OP, then 12z is much better than 0z from last night. .
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It's a hell of a lot better than 0z - so it's figuring it out. It's been crap this year. It's smarter AI brother means much more these days. .
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Ukie also a nice hit - didn't see anybody mention it. .
