Jt17

If it holds serve I have a feeling we might start to see some of the other models start to follow suite and reduce the double barrel look and go a bit more west like the Nam. Would make a huge difference for city and N&W

Next Nam run is at 8:30 or 9:30?

Only thing I'll say is Euro keeps trending towards the NAM each run. Euro 6z now looks like NAM 0z (the run that got us weenies pumped)

Had this one queued up didn't ya

this snow map now looks like the 12z NAM run that got everybody excited. In fact I believe it's slightly more. Nam reduced the double low look on 6z and we got the jackpot over NYC... hopefully the Euro keeps correcting towards the NAM from here on out.

It's called levity. Try it ya weirdo.

Have ya seen the regular Nam? NYC and NJ disappear for years under those totals.

Isn't this the type of feature mesoscale models are supposed to figure out better than the global models?

I agree with most of your points, however the NAM and Euro are more similar than you're remembering: NAM: Euro: It takes VERY little to change the totals significantly still. NYC could very well see 8 inches or 20 inches with small 20 mile shifts. And they'd totally be reasonable. That's what makes these storms so hard to predict. And as always banding does whatever the heck it wants. I'm 27 miles west of Brentwood in Queens for perspective. On the NAM output that puts the border of queens almost at 2 feet and the Euro at about 18 inches.

0z at Hour 30: almost looks like it consolidates the double lows entirely to the west and it's pretty close to the coast... Compared to 18z at same time: But because it doesn't fully consolidate, at hour 33 on 0z it jumps east about 30-40 miles. How far is nyc out from the bullseye... just saying

Kuchera:

Long Island disappears in a cloud of snow

Better, less double barrel focus and it mainly chooses the left LP path. Precip field as depicted on pivot seems smaller, but the intense stuff goes out further, I.e I think a sharper cutoff

Head west young man, head west! (Just a little)

True... lots of blizzard warnings in the upper midwest and great plains happen without snow falling from the sky.

Euro, Nam, RGEM, CMC... all have decent chunk more than 8 inches falling in nassau county.

All good, model mayhem and all

homie, it's a joke - compare the 2 maps side by side. They're very similar.

I guess it did come west a bit, keeping our all good trends streak alive.

UKIE on an island by itself

That's just the snow map from the Nam... you can't fool me.

I'd like to see the Euro give us one last treat and get rid of the double barrel low before I go to bed lol

Yep looks pretty much the same totals are a little better, but I feel like with a 970 low and plenty of cold air the output in real time will be higher, time will tell!

How so? sounds like higher numbers lol

CMC?