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Jt17

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Everything posted by Jt17

  1. Don't let them break your spirit .
  2. A bit more intriguing than previous runs. Which is why disappointing is an odd characterization for something that showed improvement. Expecting most of the models to suddenly show a great solution a week out is silly. A lot of potential there. .
  3. Then you don't agree. Because he's dismissing the potential .
  4. Weathergeek on one end, you on the other and reality hopefully in the middle. .
  5. Pretty wild ending there on the GFS .
  6. I wasn't asking. The it was implied. It's what you want was my comment. .
  7. There's literally a coastal storm signal on a bunch of the models for the 15th/16th. This comment makes no sense. .
  8. Like I said. Not their forecast. That's an experimental thing you can look at. Their expected snowfall is 7 and puts NYC in the 6-8 band and Upton just updated their warning to 6-9 inches. They aren't buying the euro. .
  9. When it gets to game time he lowers his expectations so if what is forecasted doesn't verify he isn't hurt. But going back to 4-8 still seems right based on all guidance for NYC which is what the Upton Winter storm warning had before bumping to 5-9 overnight. .
  10. Posting this was worse than posting Kuchera. .
  11. The GFS improved a ton, the Ukie improved a ton. The last euro run was great... 1 random run of the euro had a step back, 5 days out. The Euro reaction right now is exactly what I told my friend would happen in this thread at some point, whether we get the storm or not in the end. Such a fun social pattern to observe year after year. .
  12. Anthony posted 2 different storm separated by four days. GFS storm is in six days. .
  13. Looking at the radar pretty sure they're going to report over a foot by the end. .
  14. That's not how a trend works. The gfs actually went monster hit, to too amped that it hugged the coast and now it's gone the other way a bit. If anything the trend is the monster hit. I'm being literal here, but words matter - what you're describing isn't a trend. You're just saying something that backs your hunch. .
  15. NYC is smack in the middle of basically the most northern and southern modeling at the moment... heavier wetter snow storm or slightly colder less intense storm. Either way it probably ends up 6-8 inches by either cutting the clown map output on a warmer wetter storm or keeping it closer to 10-1 for a colder drier storm. It's north or south from the city that actually looks like the tough forecast for a change. .
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