Jt17
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Everything posted by Jt17
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Bro the gfs just had the rain snow line down in Richmond Virginia. Chill .
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This is about 300 miles north of the other guidance, I wouldn't put too much stock in that run other than that things have trended north across the board .
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GFS and GFS AI went from nothing this morning to basically .8 area wide in 3 model runs. It is trending pretty rapidly! .
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.5 to .8 inch for nyc qpf pretty nice indeed! .
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It's going to be 15-20 degrees colder than pretty much any snow event we've had this year. It's worth contemplating. .
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Oops yea meant 18z, but same applies to 6z lol .
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Friendly reminder 6z is usually full of shenanigans, let's keep the overreactions either way in check! .
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It's REALLY cold. .
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It's .8 this run .
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He said he would if the gfs didn't improve the next run and it did massively lol. .
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lol this is literally wishcasting .
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Let me introduce you to a concept called rosy retrospection. .
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Doesn't need to trend (which of course it could) with most modeling shows 10-15 inches of high ratio snow. Besides the OP GFS you must absolutely hug to keep your schtick up. .
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Every single cent of this storm would stick and pile up even in Manhattan. A rarity .
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If there was ever a time to consider Kuchera it's with a storm like this. Gives the area almost a foot. .
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Fun post, thank you! .
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Oddly enough didn't do so hot, but good model suite so far otherwise! .
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Surprised it took so long for somebody mention it lol decent shift! .
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There are no trends yet - the gfs went way north the gfs ai went way south. Other most recent model runs blast the area. .
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Thank you! .
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Yea agreed, this is why I asked. Just looks like the OPs .
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Does the blend of models include AI models too? .
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With ratios the entire 95 corridor gets 50+ inches lol .
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1 run is not a trend .
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That's prob 8-10 inches if it's going to be in the midteens while it's snowing. A little less suppression like the previous run and you get 15+ inches of crazy fluffy stuff .
