Spanks45

My snow is melting already and it is January 19th....what a season

Looks like 3.7 inches will do it....crazy temperature gradient, 24.1 degrees here, 4 miles to the south it is 32 degrees. It has been like that for almost 2 hours now....

3.4" with the back edge near by....21.9°, never really had good snow growth, looks like temps are jumping up just to my south, hopefully we can keep the cooler air here....

yup just came in, kids are having a blast..I always shovel them a huge pile, they pretend they are climbing Mt Washington. They don't care if there is 2 feet or 2 inches, they are happy with whatever falls! 1.4" down, 20.5°/18°

yup, dry slot here for a bit....just measured 0.8", snow growth was much better right before it tapered off

Moderate snow, 20.4°/17°....0.5" so far, everything covered including the roads

very little virga, snowing lightly and the deck is coated already. 23.5°/10°

Are any of these models affected by things such as volcanic eruptions, massive Aussie fires? Just seems like the longer range has been quite erratic recently.

one of the models needs to have something to track, otherwise everyone would move on and do non weather type stuff....

2015 snow retention is not happening with temps staying below freezing for weeks...It is January, not March so that look might just find a way to keep bumping us up to normal snowfall this year. I am sitting at almost 11, after today maybe 15ish. I have no clue what my actual climo average is here, but maybe around 45 inches? So I have a good ways to go, but will probably end up close, last year 35" was all I could get....

Danbury with a 6 and Waterbury with a 5....leaves me with a 5.5" on that forecast....looks great, hope they are right

looks like the 6z Euro bumped us up a bit too....pushing 5 inches on those clown maps now

The way things are going, sustained cold is going to enter my fraud 5....Tomorrow may be our largest storm for the entire season, until March of course, LOL

The ground should be nice and frozen which should help keep the "pack" with those temps...

Just as long as I dont wake up Sunday morning and watch it all melt away because we end up hitting the low 40s before we plunge into the arctic for a few days... I remember growing up down in the Mid Atlantic and these SWFE would almost always change over to rain and it was always will there be any left, not how much would accumulate. It also seemed like half the time they would start out as sleet and just change to rain, even though snow was being forecasted. At least up here it seems like it is always some sort of net gain.

4 inches here will feel like a full blown snowstorm for this year.....

I have been tracking it like a 1-2 footer, 3.7" is the largest here so far....

most of the lower 48 is above freezing at 850, at day 10, in January.....

I moved up here from Delaware 5 years ago, it has been much improved on my average of 15 inches per year down there. But no blockbusters yet, my "bad" year last year was 35 inches....so it is all perspective, but this year has sucked since early December, only 10" here so far.

but it has a change over at the end....Lol

even if it is just 1-2", I just want it to stay mainly frozen. I do not want to go into our "cold" stretch with frozen, brown ground. At least keep it white for a few days...

paywalled....

Lol, just saw the clown maps....6 inches for us, I will take it but we all know 2-4 is more realistic, unless the Nam was actually on to something?

Yeah, I am just half joking...When I see massive cold dumps, I just assume cold and dry. This "warmer" look showing up might just do it for us, with a nice snow blitz coming up. I am definitely optimistic.

Its going to be 2016 all over again, the GFS at 18z gives me flashbacks....No snow, followed by a monster storm just to our south, that would push many off the edge, lol