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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Hopefully all of this isn't a head fake, otherwise it will be quite cruel. Especially over the past few years. Hope it all works out, just get the ground with a solid cover of snow before it gets really cold, thats all many of us are asking...
  2. Snow keeps backbuilding here, heard the plow going down the road....definitely wasnt expecting this much out of round 1, hope the good surprises continue. Will measure shortly, much looks like over an inch so far...27.0⁰ atm
  3. I should be sleeping, instead I took a glance at the new RAP...sheesh, could that model find that nut already? Man what a run...
  4. Looked like it had some banding showing up on our side of CT....its probably wrong, but something fun to look at. I looked at the 18z EURO, even that run the whole system looked a little different than just some strung out system racing off shore. Who knows, guess we can sit back and hope this whole thing pulls a surprise, sort of luke that storm from 2000? Cant remember the date to be honest....
  5. Not writting off yet. But the writing is on the wall for sure....hope we score a few tomorrow
  6. AI was weaker vs 6z....not huge, maybe more noise than anything
  7. Definitely looks like it is ticking east too at 12z, still spreads precip well west into western New york
  8. The RGEM looked like it started shuffling east at 6z.....Not that I put too much into that model, but it was quite steady for a while until then.
  9. The past 4 years has engraved that in my mind at this point, hard to shake that gut feeling that all snow will fail around here.....Drink half full thought is that maybe we score both and leads into a 2-3 week blitz. Jury is still out though
  10. Quite surprised how that looked....it was west with Saturday too, but would sacrifice Saturday for the look Sunday. The timing is odd too, snowing here on Sunday, early morning
  11. Yeah, one of these years we will make a run....I scored more 16"+ events living in Delaware for 7 years than I have being up here for 10 years...odd times
  12. look at the timing difference between the CMC and the GFS....it seems it is a totally different system with the CMC
  13. check out the moisture profiles between the 2....hopefully the AI isn't missing something. I feel like it has had issues with drier sides of systems? Too expansive with precip fields? Maybe I am making that up....
  14. This might be the best test so far, hopefully they are correct this time around....I have seen the regular GFS flop within 48 hrs, so who knows
  15. yeah, I am lower elevation (160ish), so these borderline setups with weak rates never do well regardless of the time of year, unless it is during the evening or at night
  16. Yesterday I was hoping to break 20 inches for the season by Monday, but that looks like a long shot at this point. Hopefully Saturday is more than just white rain.... Knock on wood, but I feel like WOR has been pretty lucky with these meager systems this year
  17. Nice looking lows southwest of the center....been fooled by the GEFS recently, so will take it for now
  18. A whopping 41.9⁰ here, was hoping for one last warm day...
  19. Euro looks like garbage, good stuff....now if this was reversed, Euro was showing a snowstorm and all the others were OTS, guess which way it would go? Consensus doesn't even matter anymore, the model that shows the lowest chance of snowfall ends up verifying in the end. Can't make this stuff up
  20. Just trying to stay positive as we are damp and cold outside today....anything to stay away from brown glaciers later on. Saturday looks decent for us, for now at least. Would love to grab 1-3, before Sunday
  21. wonder if we get some light snow Saturday that never really stops, light flurries and snizzle until what ever shows up on Sunday...days and days of yore.....
  22. This seems to be the setup where a little southeast ridging can go a long way...too much and it ends up hugging, too little and a scraper
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