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Everything posted by Spanks45
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December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Spanks45 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
2.5" on the west side of Southbury... @The 4 Seasons -
December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Spanks45 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
Looks like close to 2 inches, will measure a bit later....the front must have just gone through, starting to get breezy and the temp went from 29.5 to 28.2 over the last half hour. -
December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Spanks45 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
I have seen this on quite a few models, this area of lower precip totals. Dry air, filtering down the valley? Hope its wrong....flurries flying here 29.2⁰ -
December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?
Spanks45 replied to Sey-Mour Snow's topic in New England
hrrr @ 0z looks nice for SWCT, would be nice to have a system trend a bit better at go time vs going the other way -
Storm after storm, followed by cold....at that rate I would be ok with Tip's flowers by February
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AI was cold for a while around that time period and has since flipped....can't say I believe it anymore than any other model at this point.
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If there isn't any snow on the ground, please let the GFS have a clue....
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Just get some snow on the ground that covers the brown grass, at least for a couple days...not whining about a blizzard here. Last year the only thing that hung around was the 4 inch glacier. Made sledding useless despite the cold temps, come on mother nature, the young kids need it....
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I have been saying for years now, especially down here....doesn't matter what model it is, in the mid range, take the least snowiest model and it will be correct....works almost every single time, its laughable at this point.
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I miss the old days of little access to models, things were more of a surprise when they happened and less of a disappointment when they didn't. I mean, I know I am the same way, I might get 12 inches of snow, but feel empty because the models were showing 18....before I feel like I can't enjoy the fact that it is snowing most of the time because expectations take over. Sure I could just leave the board and stay away from the models 4 times per day, but it is an addiction with no help, lol
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It doesn't help that the past 4 years have been below to insanely below average, getting porked in every possible way. And here we are again finding new ways to miss snow, so definitely a lot of angst in SNE for sure. I understand why meteorologically we are missing out, but never realized that for an area that averages 45-50 inches per year that we have to get lucky, just to hit average. I always assumed that it was the other way around, 2014/15 was luck....hopefully we snap out of it soon and we end up running the table the rest of the year, but the hangover from the past 4 years is hanging on and will be tough to snap out of
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Honestly, I don't like how cold it has been the past month and a half....At some point, the switch is going to flip and my worry is it will be sometime mid to late January through February during our climo snowfall periods. I would almost rather have this time period be close to average heading into the holidays. Despite what averages show, my firewood burn rate has been at an all time high here, lol...Here is to me being wrong, I am quite ok with that and will be first to call myself out
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outside of a rogue blizzard, looks like we are well on our way to another below to well below average winter with regards to snowfall....cool stuff
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3.9⁰, might trickle down a bit more before the sun comes over the hill. Love it when the moles hills are frozen solid causing you to stub your toe and trip randomly in the yard....
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It was steady for a while down here, hanging around 19⁰, skies cleared, now its off to the races... 13.3⁰ currently
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It just looks so simple, right? Not waiting for phasing, this and that needs to go right before snow starts falling type deal....just some energy passing to our south and cold air in place.
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and what is interesting about that, is why? Why so triggered about someone like her?
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It seems like for the past 4 years this has been the theme...at what point is it bad luck vs the new norm?
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Seeing how the snows are beginning to show up in VA and NC, it won't be long until the gulf coast gets their storm again....Same pattern, just a different year. We sure can't seem to do marginal anymore and now the somewhat newly added, too cold to snow around here. Clearly something is going on....Other snowless periods were just too dry, now we deal with warm/wet, cold/dry pattern
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Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker.
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Oh I know, just some jest on this morning as I frolick in my 0.4" of fresh snow before it disappears within the hour. Those plot look great, but seem to never pan out over the past few years. Definitely raise more questions than answers it seems...
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The voodoo of MJO plots can be lumped into the likes of tarriffs and corporate tax breaks....
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You can feel the angst growing after each set of model runs....hard to deny the stretch of years filled with warmish/wet to cold/dry. You would have to think one of these cold patterns would yield some luck. Nice 15 minute burst of snow this morning though....
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Had a nice burst of snow about a half hour ago, maybe close to a quarter inch. Still some light snow falling, not showing on radar. 27.7⁰ atm
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A few stray flurries here at the moment...just wants to snow I guess
