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Spanks45

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Everything posted by Spanks45

  1. Spanks45
    It just looks so simple, right? Not waiting for phasing, this and that needs to go right before snow starts falling type deal....just some energy passing to our south and cold air in place.
  2. Spanks45
    and what is interesting about that, is why? Why so triggered about someone like her?
  3. Spanks45
    It seems like for the past 4 years this has been the theme...at what point is it bad luck vs the new norm?
  4. Spanks45
    Seeing how the snows are beginning to show up in VA and NC, it won't be long until the gulf coast gets their storm again....Same pattern, just a different year. We sure can't seem to do marginal anymore and now the somewhat newly added, too cold to snow around here. Clearly something is going on....Other snowless periods were just too dry, now we deal with warm/wet, cold/dry pattern
  5. Spanks45
    Colder version of what we just had a few days ago....most would take that look at this point, we all want the biggie, but at this point give me 3-6, with some cold to follow. Reminds me a bit of the systems from the early 2000s, just weaker.
  6. Spanks45
    Oh I know, just some jest on this morning as I frolick in my 0.4" of fresh snow before it disappears within the hour. Those plot look great, but seem to never pan out over the past few years. Definitely raise more questions than answers it seems...
  7. Spanks45
    The voodoo of MJO plots can be lumped into the likes of tarriffs and corporate tax breaks....
  8. Spanks45
    You can feel the angst growing after each set of model runs....hard to deny the stretch of years filled with warmish/wet to cold/dry. You would have to think one of these cold patterns would yield some luck. Nice 15 minute burst of snow this morning though....
  9. Spanks45
    Had a nice burst of snow about a half hour ago, maybe close to a quarter inch. Still some light snow falling, not showing on radar. 27.7⁰ atm
  10. Spanks45
    A few stray flurries here at the moment...just wants to snow I guess
  11. Spanks45
    Just out hanging some Christmas lights and there a few flurries falling from the sky. Desperate times for sure when un forecasted flurry activity is something to post about...a chilly 27.1⁰ off a high of 28.8⁰
  12. Spanks45
    I have average just under 24" the past 4 years here, pretty sure I average 45-50...So yeah anything near that would feel like a record season
  13. Spanks45
    Can't wait to see the update with snow into the Delmarva region....fun times
  14. Spanks45
    Looks good, ended up with a half inch of snow and sleet here in Southbury.
  15. Spanks45
    0.4" of a sleet/snow mix. Came down nicely for close to a half hour. Now just a sleet/frz rain mix. Temp starting to creep up now, 30.9⁰ I think the extra cooling last night, definitely helped out here in the marginal area
  16. Spanks45
    Back to a 50/50 sleet and snow mix...temp still holding at 30.7⁰
  17. Spanks45
    Pinging pretty good right now, a little bit more and we can officially record 0.1"...lol Temp holding steady at 30.7⁰
  18. Spanks45
    A continuation of the past few years.....It is going to snow, it always does, hopefully we can at least get somewhere near average.
  19. Spanks45
    Watching the clouds race northward from Long Island, transporting those 50 degree water temps north. Still 28/21, off a low of 19.6...Ground is plenty cold, so whatever falls frozen to start should accumulate, just a matter of how quickly it changes over to just pure rain.
  20. Spanks45
    Temp down to 19.9, coldest of the season so far....sadly most of what falls will be rain, good luck up north. Maybe next week will be kinder down here.
  21. Spanks45
    I think we are cooked down here....I'm worried we won't even get on the board here, especially at my lower elevation.
  22. Spanks45
    Been in this area for 10 winters now, odds are go low with this, especially this early in the season. Maybe 1-2 before changing over to heavy rain and 34 degrees. Your elevation may help a bit compared to me, but I suspect we all flip pretty quickly. So, me around an inch, you 2ish? Hope I'm wrong and the Euro is closer to correct on thermals and low placement/strength. Still plenty of model runs to go, so I suspsect some fluctuations, hopefully not towards the Nam solutions...
  23. Spanks45
    The past few years has been what ever model gives me the least amount of snow will somehow end up being right in the end...So the battle within is, different year, same result or does this year finally buck the trend? I mean, can the GFS really be that correct? Sure, but if recent memory is correct, then it will stick with an amped solution until 48-72 hrs and will suddenly bounce to the rest of guidance...
  24. Spanks45
    20.3⁰ for the low, coldest of the season. Everything is frozen, looks nice with the sun coming up. Clouds are beginning to roll in, going to make for quite the chilly day.
  25. Spanks45
    Very light, dime sized flakes falling at the moment. The ground is cold so most of them are laying...first official trace of the season. 30.7⁰ currently
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