WinterWxLuvr
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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr
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Perhaps you should have a discussion with Mdecoy where you explore what would be considered a normal number of early panics in your normal winter. Not sure if you should use the mean, median, mode.
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Measured 3.25” in downtown Funchester. Once out of town, n and w, I’m sure totals will be slightly higher.
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Heavy Snow! But not here
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Always is
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I thought Buddy lives in Roanoke
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Dry air can be a good thing when temps are sketchy.
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If the HRRR is right then I’ll trust it in the future. But if it’s wrong I’m never looking at it again. It’s really on an island all by itself.
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Can somebody post the 0z and 6z euro for comparisons. Thanks
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Was thinking the same thing. Fail potential is high on this one.
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GFS very consistent
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For me it’s easy. In one month, give me the 10 2”s. That’s a snow every third day. Give me January. Snow will last, develop a solid snow cover. Be a great wintry month. Throw in temps about 5 below avg for my month and it would be incredible
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Interesting that the precip trajectory, or at least on the snow maps for the NAM’s changed to more ne to sw from the earlier w to e tilt. They also expanded the heavier precip a good deal to the nw.
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You better get on 11 and stay there.
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Too far out for trends with that model
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18z euro? Or are they still on daylight savings time?
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What we are getting is nothing like what that map shows. This may be the smallest storm I’ve ever seen. I’ve seen thunderstorm complexes bigger lol
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GFS a touch drier out this way
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Looks like the SREF is a little wetter if you can read those god awful ncep maps
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Is the Euro showing snow Wed morning too?
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I’m certainly no sounding expert but I would think with heavy precip those cold temps just above the surface get pulled down quickly.
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Those morning temps look cold. We get a good cloud deck in here early and I’ll bet the temps bust ... they end up lower than forecast.
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So it’s gonna rain behind the system with temps below 32? LOL at these maps sometimes
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Right after the Euro cuts precip totals in half.
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That isn’t a uniform trend. Seems specific only to the area between DC and Hagerstown
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I wonder which is more likely. Might have to wait to see how the radar develops. My gut says precip from that direction tends to arrive a bit earlier than is forecast. We shall see
