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WinterWxLuvr

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Everything posted by WinterWxLuvr

  1. WinterWxLuvr
    I’ll say this much for that post ... it’s an absolute fact that we don’t see clippers of late. That’s puzzled me for a while. I’ve even made mention of that myself.
  2. WinterWxLuvr
    Perhaps the AO summer correlation is as dependable as the SAI is.
  3. WinterWxLuvr
    Is the GFS gonna be upgraded? If so, when? I hope so because if last winter is an indication it can’t be trusted.
  4. WinterWxLuvr
    12-13 and 13-14 were cold neutrals or weak Ninas. Not sure if the Nina threshold. Regardless, there are other factors. Last year was almost a carbon copy of the 2014-2015 Enso conditions. Just a little bit different though in the outcome.
  5. WinterWxLuvr
    Not so sure it is lol
  6. WinterWxLuvr
    Thanks for the replies. The line here in Winchester is pretty standard stuff.
  7. WinterWxLuvr
    What radar setting shows rotation?
  8. WinterWxLuvr
    LOL, i was thinking M is A F I for some reason
  9. WinterWxLuvr
    LOL, I’m afraid to ask
  10. WinterWxLuvr
    We will figure it all out once we’ve created 30-40 more 3 letter acronyms for weather.
  11. WinterWxLuvr
    New thread guys. Good luck
  12. WinterWxLuvr
    2012-2013 wasn’t half bad here. Good around Christmas and then a really good March, over 20 that month
  13. WinterWxLuvr
    What I’m saying is look where the mean had it at day 10 and compare that to where it actually was. Pretty good imo. And when you say it was heading into you are basically extrapolating it out to days 20+
  14. WinterWxLuvr
    Your looking at that mean curve, skewed obviously by outliers. Not unexpected past day 10. Fine let’s look at its 10 day forecast.
  15. WinterWxLuvr
    Considering that that was a forecast for Jan 15, that yesterday was Jan 16, and the MJO position was this .... I’d say it worked out pretty damn good And yes if you follow the mean curve it didn’t die and curve, but the general movement for a 15 day forecast was great.
  16. WinterWxLuvr
    Would need to see before 1950 to make conclusions.
  17. WinterWxLuvr
    But it’s such a consistent model?
  18. WinterWxLuvr
    I’d say because that low is so close. Move it East by 50 miles different story
  19. WinterWxLuvr
    I agree. With a good pattern upstream we can get lucky even if the Atlantic is bad.
  20. WinterWxLuvr
    Each day it makes it closer to 8 before it starts to try and loop. Get it all the way in 8 and then loop back through 7 probably would be ok.
  21. WinterWxLuvr
    Yeah I agree. Get some snow cover and it can get as cold and dry as it wants
  22. WinterWxLuvr
  23. WinterWxLuvr
    Low position keeps improving on gefs for Saturday.
  24. WinterWxLuvr
    Not out yet on PSU but I can’t wait to see the low positions on the gefs
  25. WinterWxLuvr
    Truly am pretty busy though. Seriously, any gefs output available yet?
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