WinterWxLuvr

They used to but it’s been a while so we’ll see

I just want one 2-4” clipper just to prove they still exist.

Evidently we got pounded overnight. Local data suggests anywhere from 2.25 to 2.75”. Wow

That winter missed by an eyelash of being a really good one. There were January and Feb near misses too. There was also the good clipper that missed us to the south in December. Id take my chances with those types of opportunities again.

Actually bathetic didn’t show much at all but about a day before all of a sudden the gfs and others jumped in and showed a big event and then just as promptly started taking it away. We were duped

How did the winter of 2011-2012 work out?

My memory of the 96 storm is different. I remember it as a storm that formed in the western gulf that rode up through Georgia and the Carolinas and then off the coast. I don’t remember the 2010 storm being anything like that. I of course could have a faulty memory. I should edit that to say I remember the 2010 storm as an eastern gulf, off the east coast late developer.

This is crazy. Current temp in Estes Park Co is 80. Tomorrow’s forecast is for 6-10” of snow.

That index is money ... as in you won’t have any money if you bet on it.

Not sure if this post is directed at me or him lol

Do you understand the role that mountains play? Being to the east of the the Allegany front is a killer for us. Especially with light snow and snow shower activity. Your Albany example isn’t a good one either. You’re talking about a place that is nearly 4 degrees latitude north of DC. If you went that far south you’d be somewhere between Charlotte NC and Columbia SC. Do you think East or west would matter in a snow comparison with them? And to further illustrate just how bad the Albany example is, Albany is 3.25 degrees longitude east of DC. At this latitude that’s roughly 180 miles. Hmmmm, so much for the Albany isn’t too far west idea.

52 at KOKV

That’s funny. You and I have had similar experiences. I had a woodpecker, big one with the Woody type red head that started hammering my windows and French doors. Then he started drilling the side mirrors on my truck. I finally was able to get rid of him after I ran him off enough times. Guy was impressive though. When he cranked it up it sounded like a jackhammer.

Oh and those bee traps are pretty amazing.

Sometimes there’s something behind that flashing that they are after. One sure way to get woodpeckers hammering your house or decking is to let carpenter bees cohabitate with you. I’ve always heard that a fake owl prominently positioned outside will keep woodpeckers away.

Sorry @losetoa6 but I hope it doesn’t rain for a month

Water rescue @losetoa6 house

I’ll throw a vote out for sunny weather. I have had enough rain for a while

Likely to see a lot of that this winter too

Yeah you probably won’t miss a flake. That is true. It’s just how we roll

Looks like about to get hopping here in the next few

Will end up 582

That’s like hoping to see a dinosaur lol.

I’ll second the post from above and say, with 100% certainty that there’s no way this winter will be as bad as last year. The WDI will Trump any other acronyms this go around. The winter doesn’t exactly have to do much to top that fiasco.

I think analog forecasting isn’t all that great. Sure it will work most of the time just like predicting median snowfall will have you looking decent in the end. But I’d venture to say that there’s been more than enough winters that would have gone strongly against whatever analogs that would have been used to predict them. What would the analogs have said heading into 95-96? 14-15? 15-16? Some winters are just simply gonna bust the analogs. Some good. Some bad. And winter can be so tricky with luck and timing. I have no idea what the general patterns and stats look like in retrospect for the winter of 18-19 but the lasting impression of that winter is that it was pretty good. We had enough snow and enough cold that it felt like we had had a winter. And perception is reality regardless of what any final numbers may say.