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jdj5211

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Everything posted by jdj5211

  1. jdj5211
    Low is way deeper than previous runs 990s before it even hits the coast...she also crawls up the coast....the weenie maps will be insane on this one lol
  2. jdj5211
    coming up the coast....monster run....
  3. jdj5211
    18Z GFS bomb incoming....
  4. jdj5211
    0Z GFS looks to miss the phase.....
  5. jdj5211
    that precip shield just gets flattened like a pancake....
  6. jdj5211
    Much slower than the GFS.....
  7. jdj5211
    this was almost too tucked into the coast....would want it where the 12Z gfs tracked the low
  8. jdj5211
    Remember, the most historic storms in our area are usually sniffed out well in advance with a pretty decent model consensus in the leading week. Would love for the Euro to start to jump on board but no doubt there is a very significant threat for a KU event
  9. jdj5211
    I'd give up the next 3 winters for that map to verify exactly as displayed lol.....
  10. jdj5211
    This one's over folks....on to the next one...
  11. jdj5211
    0Z NAM keeps the entire storm from CNJ on southward....a flake doesn't even fly in N NJ/NYC
  12. jdj5211
    different storm but look at this monster coming out of the Gulf for next weekend.....
  13. jdj5211
    we'll have to see how quick that coastal low can deepen when it gets off shore..... looks like a Monday morning to Monday evening event for the NY metro.... temps in the mid 20s throughout storm....10-1 minimum as far as ratio....could easily see 12-1
  14. jdj5211
    GFS amped and deepening precip shield further to the north....should be a good hit coming....
  15. jdj5211
    End of the 0z NAM run looked good.....things seem to be trending north still.....0z GFS and Euro will be telling
  16. jdj5211
    doubt we'd be looking at 10-1 ratios here....it's mighty cold
  17. jdj5211
    RAP still likes the heavy band in Northern NJ/NYC area
  18. jdj5211
    18Z NAM Kuchura
  19. jdj5211
    18Z RAP is a nice hit....
  20. jdj5211
    Kuchura is actually showing more than the 10:1 map on most models. Being this will all fall mostly overnight with temps in the high 20s could lead to better than 10:1 in some spots
  21. jdj5211
    Next chance is this Saturday
  22. jdj5211
    Here are the current surface temps: Cold air is just about creeping into NW corner of NJ. We'll see how fast it can get through the region
  23. jdj5211
    RAP needs to come about 75 miles NW to be in the sweet spot. Still holding firm on heaviest axis of snow through CNJ and LI
  24. jdj5211
    Latest 18Z RDPS keeps heaviest snowfall right over NNJ/NYC Metro
  25. jdj5211
    Latest 18Z ICON holds heaviest snowfall axis to the north
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