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jdj5211

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Everything posted by jdj5211

  1. jdj5211
    man that 18z euro run was a thing of beauty.....sign me up for that right now!
  2. jdj5211
    Can someone post Euro…hearing it was a good hit as well! .
  3. jdj5211
    32 and moderate snow in Montville (Morris County) About 1.5 inches on all surfaces....hoping to see 6-8 here!
  4. jdj5211
    this! The old forums used to be so alive and kicking....we would get multiple threads for each storm threat, model play by play, mets weighing in consistently etc....now its just a bunch of banter with the occasional weather post sprinkled in.... I think the main problem is there are a ton more social media outlets now compared to back then. As long as us weather nerds have somewhere to chat I'm happy, but yes, it could be so much better....
  5. jdj5211
    18Z GFS is 6-10in Kuchera and 18Z Euro is 2-4in Kuchera.... what's the big difference here....track of the low? Precip shield looks very similar?
  6. jdj5211
  7. jdj5211
    what is going on with the NAM precip shield? it's 48 hours out...getting in range....is it going to be that spotty during the storm?
  8. jdj5211
    Final frame...996 off NC...sliding NE and OTS....
  9. jdj5211
    Expansive precip shield at HR 72....low still down in Florida panhandle
  10. jdj5211
    I know it's the NAM (and I'm grasping at anything at this point) but look at the interaction with the northern piece at HR 48....I think this one will be closer
  11. jdj5211
    That southern stream phase is literally like 6 hours off probably....a little quicker and we're back in business. Not saying it will happen but it's still possible if you just believe
  12. jdj5211
    That's honestly a great spot for a coastal low....the precip shield will be better modeled on the meso models... We're not far off here....people are acting like the storm is 300 miles off the coast at this point....
  13. jdj5211
    18Z Icon...wide right
  14. jdj5211
    Question for the Mets in here....if the northern stream slows down and amplifies would we still get a significant snowstorm without phasing with the southern stream? Or is this a southern stream makes the difference type storm?
  15. jdj5211
    Via SnowGoose - I got a bunch of texts about the NAVGEM. It still does usually end up more progressive than other models. I think that was just an off run but its interesting, if it continues to be that amped up I've seen cases where that ends up being an indicator other models move north or west
  16. jdj5211
    Yep...OTS...
  17. jdj5211
    Euro looks slightly better....not sure it gets there though....
  18. jdj5211
    just as many wide right as there are tucked into the coast.....can still go either way
  19. jdj5211
    UKMET swing and a miss
  20. jdj5211
    welp.....
  21. jdj5211
    shows a 988mb low near the benchmark and a bunch of storm cancel posts go up.....you guys are too funny
  22. jdj5211
    Best post of this entire thread....hard to argue that data.....
  23. jdj5211
    someone keep an eye on 18z Euro....let's see what we got!
  24. jdj5211
    I think at this point we can agree there will be a phased system coming out of the gulf....the question remains does it ride the coast and if so, how close? or does it just slide out to sea...the next 24-48 hours of runs will begin to paint the picture one way or the other....fun times ahead in here!
  25. jdj5211
    super sharp cutoff
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