jdj5211
-
Posts
278 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jdj5211
-
Yes. Trend is our friend…but it’s also the 18z NAM lol
-
NAM more consolidated southern vort and a better digging northern vort. Should be a good result for us
-
This is all about the trend here for me. The trend is west and colder. That’s a good thing because it could be going the other way. Now we wait for the fine tuning and see how it plays out. There’s still some time on the clock here.
-
Yes GFS slightly west and deeper than 6z. Still warm for us unfortunately
-
12Z NAM further SE with the low. Don’t think it will be as tucked in this run
-
It’s somewhat close but I suggest setting yourself up for a letdown and hoping to be pleasantly surprised when tomorrow’s model runs paint a better picture for us. We’ve seen big swings within 48-72 hours but that’s about it. We’re on life support here.
-
I laughed out loud haha
-
Oh yes, the track is what we want....just need it to bomb out sooner and filter in colder air...90% of NJ would be all rain with the majority of NW NJ...overall positive direction but its also the NAM at the end of its range
-
NAM is super tucked along the NJ shore....rain rain go away....
-
The last hurrah? Putting all the eggs in the Tuesday 3/14 basket
jdj5211 replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
EURO pbp anyone? -
EURO pbp anyone?
-
I would say if that secondary piece stuck with the flow of the northern low that would have been a much better run for us than previous GFS runs. We’re still in the game at this point and that’s all we can ask for. If euro holds its ground with a monster hit for us I think our odds increase. It hasn’t waivered.
-
GFS had duel lows….clearly no model agreement whatsoever at this point. Odd.
-
12z gfs looks like it might be better downstream for us…
-
looks like a slight NW shift...not enough but at least a move in the right direction...surface map seems off though
-
will 00Z GFS cave to EURO solution?
-
about as good as it gets...
-
18Z Euro not a bad hit for first wave
-
Recon plane on the way in shortly....let's see what we got!
-
Believe 946mb is lowest pressure thus far, no? Wonder if we'll see 130mph winds on the NE quad on next pass....
-
0Z NAM running....
-
those heavy bands are flying west into NJ....interesting....would think if western NJ was out of the big stuff those bands wouldn't be getting that far inland at this point...
-
I'll bet that NAM goes back to that wild run this morning....just my gut....but we shall see
-
You can now see the spin of the low forming off the Florida coast on visible satellite
-
I’m nervous…
